⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
SF
@ 1:40p
TB
Tropicana Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.98×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.983
Wind
0 mph
dome
Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 58 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 4 0.231 91.3 · 31.8% 409 27.6% 33.3% 51.8% 35
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 31 0.230 90.4 · 25.0% 393 17.9% 25.0% 23.2% 26
3 Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 50 0.148 90.3 · 18.8% 365 15.0% 16.7% 20.4% 33
4 Jake Fraley Jake Fraley 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 55 0.200 84.7 · 13.3% 400 8.3% 0.0% 14.3% 14
5 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 115 0.088 87.4 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 12.0% 19
6 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 176 0.106 87.5 · 11.1% 408 0.0% 0.0% 13.3% 22
7 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 21 ⚪ D · · 188 0.042 83.7 · 12.5% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 41
8 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 20 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 196 0.106 87.4 · 11.1% 385 5.3% 0.0% 6.2% 25
9 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 213 0.034 82.4 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 19
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 44 0.238 89.5 · 11.1% 399 11.1% 18.2% 17.4% 36
2 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 60 0.155 88.8 · 16.7% 363 7.1% 8.3% 9.7% 37
3 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 35 ⚪ D · · 90 0.149 93.3 · 20.0% 386 11.5% 8.3% 11.0% 32
4 Willy Adames Willy Adames 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 145 0.166 88.4 · 0.0% 375 7.1% 0.0% 8.1% 26
5 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 166 0.043 90.6 · 7.7% 407 3.8% 9.1% 8.8% 19
6 Harrison Bader Harrison Bader 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 167 0.077 87.1 · 14.3% 408 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 28
7 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 23 ⚪ D · · 175 0.065 86.9 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 47
8 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 195 0.091 87.3 · 10.0% 349 3.6% 0.0% 8.6% 23
9 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 204 0.087 89.9 · 10.0% 408 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 30
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