SF
@
1:40p
TB
Park Factor
0.98×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.983
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.231 | 91.3 | · | 31.8% | 409 | 27.6% | 33.3% | 51.8% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 31 | 0.230 | 90.4 | · | 25.0% | 393 | 17.9% | 25.0% | 23.2% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Yandy Díaz | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 50 | 0.148 | 90.3 | · | 18.8% | 365 | 15.0% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Jake Fraley | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 55 | 0.200 | 84.7 | · | 13.3% | 400 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Ben Williamson | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 115 | 0.088 | 87.4 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.0% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Fortes | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 176 | 0.106 | 87.5 | · | 11.1% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.3% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 21 | ⚪ D | · | · | 188 | 0.042 | 83.7 | · | 12.5% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 41 |
| 8 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 20 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 196 | 0.106 | 87.4 | · | 11.1% | 385 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 25 |
| 9 |
|
Taylor Walls | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 213 | 0.034 | 82.4 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 19 |
Steven Matz
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 44 | 0.238 | 89.5 | · | 11.1% | 399 | 11.1% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 60 | 0.155 | 88.8 | · | 16.7% | 363 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Heliot Ramos | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 90 | 0.149 | 93.3 | · | 20.0% | 386 | 11.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Willy Adames | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 145 | 0.166 | 88.4 | · | 0.0% | 375 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Patrick Bailey | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 166 | 0.043 | 90.6 | · | 7.7% | 407 | 3.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Harrison Bader | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 167 | 0.077 | 87.1 | · | 14.3% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Arraez | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 175 | 0.065 | 86.9 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 47 |
| 8 |
|
Matt Chapman | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 195 | 0.091 | 87.3 | · | 10.0% | 349 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Rafael Devers | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 204 | 0.087 | 89.9 | · | 10.0% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 30 |