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15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs

Slate · 2026-05-02

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261 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…
2026-05-02
Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather
🔥 High Conviction 2 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers
#4 Carlos Cortes vs Slade Cecconi FIP 5.62 HR/FB 25.0% #12 Shea Langeliers vs Slade Cecconi FIP 5.62 HR/FB 20.0%
📦 STACK Kyle Bradish FIP 4.06 HR/FB 22.2% → #1 Aaron Judge, #2 Ben Rice, #8 Giancarlo Stanton, #11 Jazz Chisholm Jr.
📦 STACK Ryan Weathers FIP 3.39 HR/FB 26.1% → #3 Coby Mayo, #6 Pete Alonso, #7 Samuel Basallo, #9 Gunnar Henderson, #13 Dylan Beavers, #14 Taylor Ward
📦 STACK Slade Cecconi FIP 5.62 HR/FB 25.0% → #4 Carlos Cortes, #12 Shea Langeliers
📦 STACK Chris Sale FIP 3.92 HR/FB 20.0% → #5 Hunter Goodman, #10 Mickey Moniak
# Batter Score Edge Pitcher · Game Time Tier Hand '26 HR Form Due BP WT Hit?
1
·Aaron Judge (R) 4
69 · Kyle Bradish (RHP)
BAL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
1:35p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
17
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
BAL Bullpen
HR/FB16.7% HR/90.89 FIP3.33 IP90.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.8°F Wind9.2 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-3 Note53°F, wind 9 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -3
2
·Ben Rice (L) 3
66 · Kyle Bradish (RHP)
BAL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
1:35p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
17
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV94.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
BAL Bullpen
HR/FB16.7% HR/90.89 FIP3.33 IP90.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.8°F Wind9.2 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-3 Note53°F, wind 9 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -3
3
·Carlos Cortes (L) 4
61 · Slade Cecconi (RHP)
CLE @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
4:05p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
5
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.33 FIP4.15 IP101.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
4 61 · Chris Sale (LHP)
ATL @ COL · Coors Field
8:10p 🔵 C+
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
14
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB8.7% HR/90.62 FIP3.12 IP87.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp47.9°F Wind4 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier-2 Note48°F, wind 4 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: -2
5
·Mickey Moniak (L) 2
60 · Chris Sale (LHP)
ATL @ COL · Coors Field
8:10p 🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
12
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.0×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB8.7% HR/90.62 FIP3.12 IP87.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp47.9°F Wind4 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier-2 Note48°F, wind 4 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: -2
6
·James Wood (L) 3
60 · Kyle Harrison (LHP)
MIL @ WSH · Nationals Park
4:05p 🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
16
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV97.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
MIL Bullpen
HR/FB10.7% HR/90.60 FIP3.38 IP89.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp51.5°F Wind12.7 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note52°F, wind 13 mph NW (cross) — modifier: -1
7 56 · Ryan Weathers (LHP)
BAL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
1:35p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB12.7% HR/90.82 FIP3.59 IP88.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.8°F Wind9.2 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-3 Note53°F, wind 9 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -3
8 56 · Slade Cecconi (RHP)
CLE @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
4:05p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls45 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.33 FIP4.15 IP101.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
Shea Langeliers — Home Run
OffSlade Cecconi Exit Velo107.8 mph Angle25.0° Distance433 ft StadiumSutter Health Park
9
·Carter Jensen (L) 3
56 · Emerson Hancock (RHP)
KC @ SEA · T-Mobile Park
9:40p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
SEA Bullpen
HR/FB9.1% HR/90.65 FIP3.61 IP96.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
T-Mobile Park
Weather · T-Mobile Park
cold air · light wind in · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp51.0°F Wind4.6 mph SSW Characterin HR Modifier-2 Note51°F, wind 5 mph SSW (in) — modifier: -2
10 56 · Connelly Early (LHP)
HOU @ BOS · Fenway Park
4:10p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
20
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls46 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.5×
BOS Bullpen
HR/FB16.2% HR/91.13 FIP4.19 IP95.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Fenway Park
Weather · Fenway Park
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp49.0°F Wind9.2 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Note49°F, wind 9 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
11 55 · Jacob Lopez (LHP)
CLE @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
4:05p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
4
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
8.7×
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB13.3% HR/90.93 FIP3.81 IP96.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
12
·Curtis Mead (R) 3
55 · Kyle Harrison (LHP)
MIL @ WSH · Nationals Park
4:05p 🟠 C
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
8
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
MIL Bullpen
HR/FB10.7% HR/90.60 FIP3.38 IP89.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp51.5°F Wind12.7 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note52°F, wind 13 mph NW (cross) — modifier: -1
13 54 · Roki Sasaki (RHP)
LAD @ STL · Busch Stadium
7:15p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
15
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV95.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.3×
LAD Bullpen
HR/FB11.3% HR/90.83 FIP3.35 IP75.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Busch Stadium
Weather · Busch Stadium
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp53.8°F Wind3 mph WNW Characterin HR Modifier-2 Note54°F, wind 3 mph WNW (in) — modifier: -2
Jordan Walker — Home Run
OffRoki Sasaki Exit Velo110.0 mph Angle17.0° Distance372 ft StadiumBusch Stadium
14 54 · Shota Imanaga (LHP)
AZ @ CHC · Wrigley Field
2:20p 🟠 C
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV87.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.5×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB16.1% HR/91.16 FIP4.30 IP77.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp45.6°F Wind3 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier-2 Note46°F, wind 3 mph WNW (out) — modifier: -2
15 54 · Max Meyer (RHP)
PHI @ MIA · loanDepot Park
4:10p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
22
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
MIA Bullpen
HR/FB9.6% HR/90.75 FIP3.88 IP96.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
loanDepot Park
Weather · loanDepot Park
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
16 54 · Michael King (RHP)
CWS @ SD · Petco Park
8:40p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
15
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
SD Bullpen
HR/FB14.3% HR/90.63 FIP3.18 IP113.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Petco Park
Weather · Petco Park
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp61.7°F Wind5.0 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note62°F, wind 5 mph NW (in) — modifier: -1
17
·Coby Mayo (R) 2
53 · Ryan Weathers (LHP)
BAL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
1:35p 🟠 C
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
6
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB12.7% HR/90.82 FIP3.59 IP88.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.8°F Wind9.2 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-3 Note53°F, wind 9 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -3
18 53 · Roki Sasaki (RHP)
LAD @ STL · Busch Stadium
7:15p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
5
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV87.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
7.7×
LAD Bullpen
HR/FB11.3% HR/90.83 FIP3.35 IP75.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Busch Stadium
Weather · Busch Stadium
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp53.8°F Wind3 mph WNW Characterin HR Modifier-2 Note54°F, wind 3 mph WNW (in) — modifier: -2
19 52 · Ryan Weathers (LHP)
BAL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
1:35p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
9
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB12.7% HR/90.82 FIP3.59 IP88.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.8°F Wind9.2 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier-3 Note53°F, wind 9 mph NNW (in) — modifier: -3
20 52 · Carmen Mlodzinski (RHP)
CIN @ PIT · PNC Park
4:05p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
9
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
PIT Bullpen
HR/FB15.5% HR/90.98 FIP4.29 IP119.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
PNC Park
Weather · PNC Park
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp42.5°F Wind5.8 mph W Characterout HR Modifier-3 Note43°F, wind 6 mph W (out) — modifier: -3
21 50 · Ryne Nelson (RHP)
AZ @ CHC · Wrigley Field
2:20p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
6
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
AZ Bullpen
HR/FB18.8% HR/91.27 FIP4.21 IP85.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp45.6°F Wind3 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier-2 Note46°F, wind 3 mph WNW (out) — modifier: -2
22
·Nick Kurtz (L) 4
50 · Slade Cecconi (RHP)
CLE @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
4:05p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
10
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV95.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.33 FIP4.15 IP101.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
23
·Gary Sánchez (R) 3
50 · Foster Griffin (LHP)
MIL @ WSH · Nationals Park
4:05p 🟠 C
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
5
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
WSH Bullpen
HR/FB20.7% HR/91.53 FIP5.44 IP99.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp51.5°F Wind12.7 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note52°F, wind 13 mph NW (cross) — modifier: -1
24 50 · Landen Roupp (RHP)
SF @ TB · Tropicana Field
6:10p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.3×
SF Bullpen
HR/FB11.9% HR/90.70 FIP3.62 IP90.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Tropicana Field
Weather · Tropicana Field
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
25
·Mike Trout (R) 3
50 · Nolan McLean (RHP)
NYM @ LAA · Angel Stadium
9:38p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
NYM Bullpen
HR/FB13.2% HR/90.83 FIP3.56 IP97.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp60.0°F Wind6.9 mph WSW Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note60°F, wind 7 mph WSW (in) — modifier: -1
26 49 · Jacob Lopez (LHP)
CLE @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
4:05p ⚪ D
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
9
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV88.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
10.0×
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB13.3% HR/90.93 FIP3.81 IP96.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
27 49 · Connelly Early (LHP)
HOU @ BOS · Fenway Park
4:10p ⚪ D
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
16
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
BOS Bullpen
HR/FB16.2% HR/91.13 FIP4.19 IP95.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Fenway Park
Weather · Fenway Park
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp49.0°F Wind9.2 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Note49°F, wind 9 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
Christian Walker — Home Run
OffConnelly Early Exit Velo108.3 mph Angle21.0° Distance388 ft StadiumFenway Park
28 49 · Kumar Rocker (RHP)
TEX @ DET · Comerica Park
7:15p ⚪ D
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
8
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
4.0×
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB12.1% HR/90.94 FIP3.84 IP104.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Comerica Park
Weather · Comerica Park
cold air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp42.7°F Wind9.2 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-2 Note43°F, wind 9 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: -2
29 48 · Jacob Lopez (LHP)
CLE @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
4:05p ⚪ D
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
8
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.7×
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB13.3% HR/90.93 FIP3.81 IP96.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
30 48 · Roki Sasaki (RHP)
LAD @ STL · Busch Stadium
7:15p ⚪ D
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
4
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV85.0 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
LAD Bullpen
HR/FB11.3% HR/90.83 FIP3.35 IP75.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Busch Stadium
Weather · Busch Stadium
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp53.8°F Wind3 mph WNW Characterin HR Modifier-2 Note54°F, wind 3 mph WNW (in) — modifier: -2
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256 more waiting in the on-deck circle
Model Health · HR catch rate by tier
season-to-date
S 0.0%
A+ 17.2%
A 18.2%
B 20.0%
C+ 15.1%
C 12.3%
D 7.7%
Best Day
32.0%
May 29
LD 3.2.82

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