⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
BAL
@ 1:35p
NYY
Yankee Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.25×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.874
Temp
52.8°F
Wind
9.2 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Aaron Judge Aaron Judge 69 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 1 0.370 92.7 · 44.4% 408 29.6% 36.4% 50.6% 25
2 Ben Rice Ben Rice 66 🔵 C+ · · 2 0.387 94.7 · 38.9% 391 30.8% 36.4% 36.9% 34
3 Giancarlo Stanton Giancarlo Stanton 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 35 0.166 94.1 · 15.4% 410 16.7% 11.1% 19.3% 15
4 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 36 0.128 89.3 · 11.8% 377 11.5% 30.0% 14.2% 30
5 Trent Grisham Trent Grisham 41 ⚪ D · · 63 0.161 91.5 · 15.0% 370 7.7% 18.2% 15.8% 28
6 Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 70 0.139 89.2 · 7.4% 384 7.7% 10.0% 9.1% 35
7 Austin Wells Austin Wells 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 95 0.143 91.2 · 16.7% 372 13.0% 22.2% 16.8% 22
8 José Caballero José Caballero 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 96 0.133 83.4 · 7.7% 365 13.3% 18.2% 16.7% 37
9 Ryan McMahon Ryan McMahon 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 128 0.083 92.5 · 14.3% 354 16.7% 10.0% 9.8% 18
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 56 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 7 0.279 89.5 · 66.7% 388 27.6% 23.1% 60.4% 31
2 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 53 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 17 0.166 89.0 · 28.6% 429 11.1% 25.0% 29.8% 21
3 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 52 🟠 C · · 19 0.221 92.3 · 33.3% 410 18.8% 18.2% 39.5% 23
4 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 42 0.162 94.8 · 0.0% 391 12.9% 23.1% 17.1% 33
5 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 58 0.185 88.6 · 31.2% 396 21.1% 15.4% 20.5% 32
6 Dylan Beavers Dylan Beavers 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 78 0.125 87.1 · 14.3% 406 6.2% 8.3% 11.2% 26
7 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 88 0.142 89.7 · 12.5% 394 3.1% 7.7% 12.5% 34
8 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 100 0.143 87.5 · 12.5% 409 0.0% 0.0% 18.9% 27
9 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 230 0.018 92.3 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% 15
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