⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
MIL
@ 4:05p
WSH
Nationals Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.04×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.940
Temp
51.5°F
Wind
12.7 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 6 0.311 97.4 · 42.9% 404 33.3% 25.0% 35.3% 23
2 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 12 0.258 88.6 · 20.0% 394 28.6% 33.3% 29.6% 22
3 CJ Abrams CJ Abrams 44 ⚪ D · · 50 0.238 89.6 · 0.0% 388 17.6% 16.7% 12.3% 33
4 Brady House Brady House 40 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 68 0.144 89.7 · 12.5% 387 12.5% 20.0% 15.9% 22
5 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 127 0.129 87.7 · 8.8% 400 11.8% 9.1% 8.7% 33
6 Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 24 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 171 0.051 82.5 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 23
7 Luis García Jr. 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 205 0.105 92.1 · 5.9% 405 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 33
8 Jacob Young Jacob Young 16 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 222 0.114 89.0 · 0.0% 383 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 41
9 Nasim Nuñez Nasim Nuñez 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 243 0.011 84.5 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 29
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gary Sánchez Gary Sánchez 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 23 0.311 89.5 · 45.5% 405 20.0% 0.0% 20.4% 24
2 Brice Turang Brice Turang 43 ⚪ D · · 54 0.220 92.6 · 22.2% 401 10.3% 9.1% 16.4% 35
3 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 72 0.209 93.2 · 23.8% 395 14.3% 0.0% 16.1% 34
4 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 101 0.094 85.0 · 12.5% 402 7.7% 11.1% 10.2% 34
5 William Contreras William Contreras 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 158 0.112 89.4 · 9.5% 404 7.1% 10.0% 7.7% 43
6 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 162 0.135 90.3 · 16.7% 420 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 23
7 Luis Rengifo Luis Rengifo 22 ⚪ D · · 181 0.087 87.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 35
8 David Hamilton David Hamilton 12 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 239 0.029 84.6 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 31
9 Brandon Lockridge Brandon Lockridge 11 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 245 0.040 85.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 14
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