⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
TOR
@ 2:10p
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.751
Temp
48.6°F
Wind
5.8 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 45 ⚪ D · · 45 0.227 88.8 · 30.8% 396 27.6% 50.0% 24.5% 39
2 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 33 ⚪ D · · 112 0.174 90.8 · 26.7% 397 14.8% 18.2% 15.2% 27
3 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 33 ⚪ D · · 114 0.179 88.8 · 20.0% 364 17.2% 15.4% 10.8% 36
4 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 21 ⚪ D · · 194 0.116 89.3 · 30.0% 413 10.7% 0.0% 7.4% 16
5 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 21 ⚪ D · · 195 0.138 86.6 · 8.3% 398 3.7% 0.0% 6.3% 28
6 Josh Bell Josh Bell 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 224 0.131 89.0 · 13.3% 392 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 41
7 Austin Martin Austin Martin 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 236 0.115 86.2 · 0.0% 406 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 24
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 12 ⚪ D · · 242 0.060 84.5 · 10.5% 367 3.4% 0.0% 6.0% 37
9 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 9 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 254 0.052 87.4 · 14.3% 423 3.7% 0.0% 6.4% 17
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 87 0.184 92.8 · 21.1% 400 16.7% 15.4% 11.8% 33
2 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 34 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 103 0.159 92.8 · 31.2% 406 6.7% 7.7% 15.6% 32
3 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 25 ⚪ D · · 168 0.130 86.4 · 0.0% 360 3.2% 7.7% 4.3% 46
4 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 25 ⚪ D · · 169 0.149 85.3 · 18.8% 391 10.5% 7.7% 7.5% 29
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 22 ⚪ D · · 185 0.119 91.3 · 25.0% 434 6.5% 7.7% 7.1% 42
6 George Springer George Springer 20 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 200 0.179 88.4 · 0.0% 389 7.4% 0.0% 6.8% 10
7 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 17 ⚪ D · · 217 0.077 86.9 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 19
8 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 17 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 219 0.169 86.0 · 13.0% 386 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 34
9 Davis Schneider Davis Schneider 10 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 250 0.109 86.8 · 10.0% 366 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 11
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