TOR
@
2:10p
MIN
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.751
Temp
48.6°F
Wind
5.8 mph
out
Roof
open
Dylan Cease
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 45 | 0.227 | 88.8 | · | 30.8% | 396 | 27.6% | 50.0% | 24.5% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Ryan Jeffers | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 112 | 0.174 | 90.8 | · | 26.7% | 397 | 14.8% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Brooks Lee | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 114 | 0.179 | 88.8 | · | 20.0% | 364 | 17.2% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Matt Wallner | 21 | ⚪ D | · | · | 194 | 0.116 | 89.3 | · | 30.0% | 413 | 10.7% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 16 |
| 5 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 21 | ⚪ D | · | · | 195 | 0.138 | 86.6 | · | 8.3% | 398 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Josh Bell | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 224 | 0.131 | 89.0 | · | 13.3% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 41 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Martin | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 236 | 0.115 | 86.2 | · | 0.0% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 12 | ⚪ D | · | · | 242 | 0.060 | 84.5 | · | 10.5% | 367 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 37 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Caratini | 9 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 254 | 0.052 | 87.4 | · | 14.3% | 423 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 17 |
Connor Prielipp
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jesús Sánchez | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 87 | 0.184 | 92.8 | · | 21.1% | 400 | 16.7% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Kazuma Okamoto | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 103 | 0.159 | 92.8 | · | 31.2% | 406 | 6.7% | 7.7% | 15.6% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Ernie Clement | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 168 | 0.130 | 86.4 | · | 0.0% | 360 | 3.2% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 46 |
| 4 |
|
Daulton Varsho | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 169 | 0.149 | 85.3 | · | 18.8% | 391 | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 185 | 0.119 | 91.3 | · | 25.0% | 434 | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 42 |
| 6 |
|
George Springer | 20 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 200 | 0.179 | 88.4 | · | 0.0% | 389 | 7.4% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 10 |
| 7 |
|
Nathan Lukes | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 217 | 0.077 | 86.9 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Andrés Giménez | 17 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 219 | 0.169 | 86.0 | · | 13.0% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Davis Schneider | 10 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 250 | 0.109 | 86.8 | · | 10.0% | 366 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 11 |