6
HRs allowed
6.2%
HR rate (pool)
6.7%
Overall HR/FB
2.96
FIP
3.77
xFIP
-0.81
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
8
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 8th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
13.4%
Hard-Hit% allowed
73.3%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.7 EV · 406 ft
max EV allowed 110.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR ↑
15D · 4 HR ↑
30D · 4 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Carmen Mlodzinski.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
27.6%
86.1
28.7°
5
+1.0
Splitter Offspeed
25.7%
80.5
8.6°
0
-1.3
Sinker Hard
17.6%
88.3
11.2°
1
+1.2
Curveball Breaking
11.5%
86.0
4.1°
0
+0.3
Sweeper Breaking
10.5%
83.0
9.7°
1
-1.0
Slider Breaking
3.8%
87.3
25.7°
0
+0.8
Cutter Hard
3.3%
86.7
25.8°
2
+3.3
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups97
HRs allowed (pool)6
Pool HR rate6.2%
Pool HR/game day0.55
Top-15 matchups1
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB6.7% 8
HR/9—
FIP2.96 12
xFIP3.77
FIP − xFIP-0.81 7
Barrel% allowed13.4%
Hard-Hit% allowed73.3%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-31
Fastball
Hard · 27.6% usage
+1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.1 mph
Avg launch angle28.7°
HRs allowed5
Pitches510
Splitter
Offspeed · 25.7% usage
-1.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.5 mph
Avg launch angle8.6°
HRs allowed0
Pitches476
Sinker
Hard · 17.6% usage
+1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against88.3 mph
Avg launch angle11.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches325
Curveball
Breaking · 11.5% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.0 mph
Avg launch angle4.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches212
Sweeper
Breaking · 10.5% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.0 mph
Avg launch angle9.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches195
Slider
Breaking · 3.8% usage
+0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.3 mph
Avg launch angle25.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches71
Cutter
Hard · 3.3% usage
+3.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.7 mph
Avg launch angle25.8°
HRs allowed2
Pitches62
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Carmen Mlodzinski.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
6 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.7 EV · 406 ft
4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 11 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-17
8
1
107.8
2026-08-12
9
2
110.6
2026-08-07
8
1
109.3
2026-05-25
9
1
105.6
2026-05-20
9
0
107.2
2026-05-08
9
1
109.3
2026-05-02
9
0
105.0
2026-04-26
9
0
107.7
2026-04-10
9
0
107.6
2026-04-04
9
0
106.0
2026-03-29
9
0
107.1
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Carmen Mlodzinski isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Carmen Mlodzinski isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
43
3
7%
9
2
22%
9
1
11%
9
0
0%
9
0
0%
9
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 7. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Carmen Mlodzinski
How many home runs has Carmen Mlodzinski allowed this season?
Carmen Mlodzinski has allowed 6 home runs across 11 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Carmen Mlodzinski?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Carmen Mlodzinski include Alec Burleson (1), Andy Pages (1), Bo Naylor (1) and 12 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.