⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
SF
@ 6:10p
TB
Tropicana Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.997
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 24 0.231 91.6 · 31.8% 409 28.6% 33.3% 23.2% 41
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 61 0.230 90.2 · 25.0% 393 18.5% 25.0% 27.7% 27
3 Jake Fraley Jake Fraley 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 93 0.200 84.9 · 14.3% 400 9.1% 0.0% 18.6% 13
4 Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 102 0.148 90.3 · 18.8% 365 15.8% 16.7% 8.6% 35
5 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 23 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 176 0.088 87.4 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 22
6 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 209 0.106 87.8 · 11.1% 385 5.6% 9.1% 7.4% 26
7 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 223 0.106 87.8 · 11.1% 408 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 22
8 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 15 ⚪ D · · 231 0.042 83.7 · 12.5% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 44
9 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 244 0.034 82.8 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 19
Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 44 0.238 89.4 · 13.6% 399 11.5% 18.2% 15.7% 38
2 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 44 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 49 0.149 93.2 · 12.5% 386 12.0% 16.7% 11.5% 32
3 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 60 0.155 88.8 · 11.8% 363 7.4% 8.3% 10.6% 39
4 Willy Adames Willy Adames 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 118 0.166 88.5 · 21.4% 375 7.4% 0.0% 11.7% 27
5 Harrison Bader Harrison Bader 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 157 0.077 87.1 · 0.0% 408 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 30
6 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 25 ⚪ D · · 163 0.065 86.6 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 49
7 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 164 0.043 90.9 · 0.0% 407 4.0% 9.1% 8.4% 18
8 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 183 0.091 87.6 · 18.2% 349 3.7% 0.0% 8.5% 28
9 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 189 0.087 90.1 · 7.1% 408 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 31
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