KC
@
9:40p
SEA
Park Factor
1.05×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.842
Temp
51.0°F
Wind
4.6 mph
in
Roof
retractable
Emerson Hancock
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Carter Jensen | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 9 | 0.233 | 91.2 | · | 30.0% | 387 | 26.7% | 20.0% | 35.1% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Jac Caglianone | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 48 | 0.150 | 94.9 | · | 15.4% | 398 | 8.0% | 28.6% | 21.7% | 19 |
| 3 |
|
Vinnie Pasquantino | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 65 | 0.157 | 88.5 | · | 18.2% | 394 | 14.8% | 22.2% | 21.4% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Lane Thomas | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.070 | 85.6 | · | 0.0% | 407 | 22.2% | 28.6% | 7.3% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Kyle Isbel | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 91 | 0.166 | 87.6 | · | 25.0% | 390 | 12.0% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Salvador Perez | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 97 | 0.155 | 87.7 | · | 22.2% | 396 | 17.2% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 40 |
| 7 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 108 | 0.144 | 92.6 | · | 5.3% | 408 | 3.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 43 | |
| 8 |
|
Maikel Garcia | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 144 | 0.130 | 90.1 | · | 5.9% | 398 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Isaac Collins | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 165 | 0.094 | 88.4 | · | 7.7% | 375 | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 27 |
Seth Lugo
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 32 | 0.200 | 87.0 | · | 17.1% | 390 | 23.3% | 41.7% | 18.8% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Luke Raley | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 43 | 0.244 | 93.0 | · | 33.3% | 392 | 13.3% | 8.3% | 24.3% | 13 |
| 3 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 57 | 0.238 | 95.6 | · | 21.1% | 409 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 16.2% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Josh Naylor | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 109 | 0.124 | 87.2 | · | 22.2% | 402 | 14.3% | 18.2% | 9.4% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 124 | 0.150 | 90.2 | · | 13.3% | 377 | 6.7% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Cole Young | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 125 | 0.134 | 87.9 | · | 8.3% | 395 | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 130 | 0.095 | 88.5 | · | 0.0% | 412 | 13.3% | 16.7% | 7.0% | 43 |
| 8 | J.P. Crawford | 27 | ⚪ D | · | · | 148 | 0.113 | 89.1 | · | 10.0% | 372 | 6.9% | 16.7% | 6.6% | 39 | |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 198 | 0.040 | 86.3 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 26 |