⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
NYM
@ 9:38p
LAA
Angel Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.96×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.861
Temp
60.0°F
Wind
6.9 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Mike Trout Mike Trout 50 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 25 0.321 92.7 · 32.0% 411 24.1% 25.0% 34.6% 27
2 Jorge Soler Jorge Soler 42 ⚪ D · · 62 0.226 88.9 · 50.0% 397 21.4% 16.7% 28.1% 30
3 Oswald Peraza Oswald Peraza 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 98 0.196 88.5 · 20.0% 378 13.3% 0.0% 13.1% 16
4 Josh Lowe Josh Lowe 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 111 0.169 87.4 · 17.4% 374 13.0% 9.1% 9.8% 19
5 Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 151 0.133 86.4 · 15.4% 364 10.3% 8.3% 6.9% 35
6 Zach Neto Zach Neto 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 152 0.178 88.7 · 17.4% 397 13.8% 0.0% 12.0% 26
7 Yoán Moncada Yoán Moncada 23 ⚪ D · · 177 0.134 90.0 · 17.6% 373 7.7% 0.0% 7.2% 17
8 Jo Adell Jo Adell 16 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 225 0.107 90.3 · 0.0% 407 10.3% 8.3% 5.4% 34
9 Logan O'Hoppe Logan O'Hoppe 14 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 235 0.051 87.4 · 11.1% 427 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 11
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 85 0.218 93.2 · 12.5% 367 5.3% 0.0% 19.4% 27
2 Francisco Lindor Francisco Lindor 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 136 0.129 90.9 · 10.5% 406 8.0% 12.5% 10.5% 10
3 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 150 0.089 91.9 · 14.3% 365 6.9% 8.3% 6.7% 41
4 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 167 0.111 88.4 · 14.3% 420 8.3% 8.3% 6.7% 22
5 Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 184 0.169 89.4 · 23.5% 415 0.0% 0.0% 9.7% 27
6 Brett Baty Brett Baty 20 ⚪ D · · 199 0.102 89.8 · 6.7% 414 3.4% 8.3% 7.1% 24
7 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 17 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 215 0.076 86.9 · 0.0% 407 0.0% 0.0% 4.4% 36
8 Carson Benge Carson Benge 17 ⚪ D · · 216 0.093 90.6 · 13.3% 387 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 30
9 Luis Robert Jr. 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 218 0.105 90.2 · 33.3% 400 7.1% 0.0% 8.3% 22
🏟️

Unlock the full game board

See every batter in this game, both pitcher groups, all HR profile signals, and the matchup context that drives the slate.

15 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.2.82

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.