⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs

Slate · 2026-05-01

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252 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…
2026-05-01
Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather
#12 Dominic Canzone vs Cole Ragans FIP 6.05 HR/FB 33.3%
📦 STACK Jacob Misiorowski FIP 3.25 HR/FB 22.2% → #1 James Wood, #13 Curtis Mead
📦 STACK Will Warren FIP 2.77 → #2 Coby Mayo, #6 Taylor Ward, #7 Gunnar Henderson, #8 Samuel Basallo, #10 Pete Alonso, #14 Dylan Beavers, #15 Jeremiah Jackson
📦 STACK Jose Quintana FIP 6.78 HR/FB 19.1% → #3 Matt Olson, #9 Michael Harris II
📦 STACK Grant Holmes FIP 4.88 HR/FB 18.2% → #4 Hunter Goodman, #11 Mickey Moniak
# Batter Score Edge Pitcher · Game Time Tier Hand '26 HR Form Due BP WT Hit?
1
·James Wood (L) 2
64 · Jacob Misiorowski (RHP)
MIL @ WSH · Nationals Park
6:45p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
16
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV97.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
MIL Bullpen
HR/FB10.7% HR/90.60 FIP3.38 IP89.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.9°F Wind6.9 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 7 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: -1
2
Matt Olson (L) 3
64 · Jose Quintana (LHP)
ATL @ COL · Coors Field
8:40p 🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
16
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB17.8% HR/91.20 FIP4.14 IP134.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp43.0°F Wind2.0 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier-3 Note43°F, wind 2 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: -3
Matt Olson — Home Run
OffJose Quintana Exit Velo103.8 mph Angle27.0° Distance415 ft StadiumCoors Field
3 63 · Grant Holmes (RHP)
ATL @ COL · Coors Field
8:40p 🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB8.7% HR/90.62 FIP3.12 IP87.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp43.0°F Wind2.0 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier-3 Note43°F, wind 2 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: -3
4 60 · Grant Holmes (RHP)
ATL @ COL · Coors Field
8:40p 🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.0×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB8.7% HR/90.62 FIP3.12 IP87.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp43.0°F Wind2.0 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier-3 Note43°F, wind 2 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: -3
Mickey Moniak — Home Run
OffGrant Holmes Exit Velo105.5 mph Angle29.0° Distance439 ft StadiumCoors Field
5
·Curtis Mead (R) 2
59 · Jacob Misiorowski (RHP)
MIL @ WSH · Nationals Park
6:45p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
8
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
MIL Bullpen
HR/FB10.7% HR/90.60 FIP3.38 IP89.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.9°F Wind6.9 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 7 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: -1
6 59 · Eury Pérez (RHP)
PHI @ MIA · loanDepot Park
7:10p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
22
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
MIA Bullpen
HR/FB9.6% HR/90.75 FIP3.88 IP96.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
loanDepot Park
Weather · loanDepot Park
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
7 58 · Germán Márquez (RHP)
CWS @ SD · Petco Park
9:40p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
15
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
SD Bullpen
HR/FB14.3% HR/90.63 FIP3.18 IP113.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Petco Park
Weather · Petco Park
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp59.9°F Wind4.6 mph E Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note60°F, wind 5 mph E (out) — modifier: -1
Colson Montgomery — Home Run
OffGermán Márquez Exit Velo101.4 mph Angle28.0° Distance385 ft StadiumPetco Park
8
·Carlos Cortes (L) 3
57 · Joey Cantillo (LHP)
CLE @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
9:40p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
5
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.33 FIP4.15 IP101.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
9 57 · Jose Quintana (LHP)
ATL @ COL · Coors Field
8:40p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV94.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB17.8% HR/91.20 FIP4.14 IP134.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp43.0°F Wind2.0 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier-3 Note43°F, wind 2 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: -3
Michael Harris II — Home Run
OffJose Quintana Exit Velo107.3 mph Angle39.0° Distance385 ft StadiumCoors Field
10 57 · Colin Rea (RHP)
AZ @ CHC · Wrigley Field
2:20p 🟠 C
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV87.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.5×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB16.1% HR/91.16 FIP4.30 IP77.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp42.5°F Wind8.1 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note43°F, wind 8 mph NNW (out) — modifier: -1
11
·Mike Trout (R) 3
57 · Christian Scott (RHP)
NYM @ LAA · Angel Stadium
9:38p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
NYM Bullpen
HR/FB13.2% HR/90.83 FIP3.56 IP97.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Angel Stadium
Weather · Angel Stadium
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp60.4°F Wind6.9 mph ESE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note60°F, wind 7 mph ESE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
12 55 · Will Warren (RHP)
BAL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
7:05p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB12.7% HR/90.82 FIP3.59 IP88.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.6°F Wind10.4 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier-5 Note53°F, wind 10 mph NW (in) — modifier: -5
13 54 · J.T. Ginn (RHP)
CLE @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
9:40p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
4
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
8.7×
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB13.3% HR/90.93 FIP3.81 IP96.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
14
·Ozzie Albies (S) 2
54 · Jose Quintana (LHP)
ATL @ COL · Coors Field
8:40p 🟠 C
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
9
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls49 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV87.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.5×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB17.8% HR/91.20 FIP4.14 IP134.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp43.0°F Wind2.0 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier-3 Note43°F, wind 2 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: -3
15
·Cal Raleigh (S) 2
54 · Cole Ragans (LHP)
KC @ SEA · T-Mobile Park
9:45p 🟠 C
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV86.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
7.0×
KC Bullpen
HR/FB19.1% HR/91.34 FIP5.05 IP80.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
T-Mobile Park
Weather · T-Mobile Park
cold air · light wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp51.4°F Wind3.4 mph N Characterout HR Modifier-2 Note51°F, wind 3 mph N (out) — modifier: -2
16
·Josh Jung (R) 3
53 · Jack Flaherty (RHP)
TEX @ DET · Comerica Park
6:40p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
7
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
DET Bullpen
HR/FB17.9% HR/91.12 FIP4.41 IP96.8
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Comerica Park
Weather · Comerica Park
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp44.6°F Wind8.1 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier-3 Note45°F, wind 8 mph NE (cross) — modifier: -3
17 53 · Mitch Keller (RHP)
CIN @ PIT · PNC Park
6:45p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
9
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
PIT Bullpen
HR/FB15.5% HR/90.98 FIP4.29 IP119.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
PNC Park
Weather · PNC Park
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp49.1°F Wind5.8 mph S Characterin HR Modifier-2 Note49°F, wind 6 mph S (in) — modifier: -2
18
·Gary Sánchez (R) 3
52 · Jake Irvin (RHP)
MIL @ WSH · Nationals Park
6:45p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
5
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
WSH Bullpen
HR/FB20.7% HR/91.53 FIP5.44 IP99.9
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Nationals Park
Weather · Nationals Park
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.9°F Wind6.9 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Note56°F, wind 7 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: -1
19
·Luke Raley (L) 4
52 · Cole Ragans (LHP)
KC @ SEA · T-Mobile Park
9:45p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
KC Bullpen
HR/FB19.1% HR/91.34 FIP5.05 IP80.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
T-Mobile Park
Weather · T-Mobile Park
cold air · light wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp51.4°F Wind3.4 mph N Characterout HR Modifier-2 Note51°F, wind 3 mph N (out) — modifier: -2
20 51 · Will Warren (RHP)
BAL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
7:05p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
9
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB12.7% HR/90.82 FIP3.59 IP88.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.6°F Wind10.4 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier-5 Note53°F, wind 10 mph NW (in) — modifier: -5
21
·Drake Baldwin (L) 4
51 · Jose Quintana (LHP)
ATL @ COL · Coors Field
8:40p 🟠 C
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.5×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB17.8% HR/91.20 FIP4.14 IP134.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Coors Field
Weather · Coors Field
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp43.0°F Wind2.0 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier-3 Note43°F, wind 2 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: -3
22 51 · Joey Cantillo (LHP)
CLE @ ATH · Sutter Health Park
9:40p 🟠 C
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
14
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls46 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB18.3% HR/91.33 FIP4.15 IP101.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Sutter Health Park
Weather · Sutter Health Park
Unknown stadium
HR Modifier0 NoteUnknown stadium
23
·Carter Jensen (L) 2
51 · Bryan Woo (RHP)
KC @ SEA · T-Mobile Park
9:45p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
SEA Bullpen
HR/FB9.1% HR/90.65 FIP3.61 IP96.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
T-Mobile Park
Weather · T-Mobile Park
cold air · light wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp51.4°F Wind3.4 mph N Characterout HR Modifier-2 Note51°F, wind 3 mph N (out) — modifier: -2
24
·Miguel Vargas (R) 2
51 · Germán Márquez (RHP)
CWS @ SD · Petco Park
9:40p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
15
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.4×
SD Bullpen
HR/FB14.3% HR/90.63 FIP3.18 IP113.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Petco Park
Weather · Petco Park
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp59.9°F Wind4.6 mph E Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note60°F, wind 5 mph E (out) — modifier: -1
25
·Coby Mayo (R) 2
50 · Will Warren (RHP)
BAL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium
7:05p 🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
6
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB12.7% HR/90.82 FIP3.59 IP88.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Yankee Stadium
Weather · Yankee Stadium
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp52.6°F Wind10.4 mph NW Characterin HR Modifier-5 Note53°F, wind 10 mph NW (in) — modifier: -5
26 50 · Colin Rea (RHP)
AZ @ CHC · Wrigley Field
2:20p 🟠 C
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.4×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB16.1% HR/91.16 FIP4.30 IP77.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp42.5°F Wind8.1 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note43°F, wind 8 mph NNW (out) — modifier: -1
27 49 · Cole Ragans (LHP)
KC @ SEA · T-Mobile Park
9:45p ⚪ D
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
7
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV95.5 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
KC Bullpen
HR/FB19.1% HR/91.34 FIP5.05 IP80.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
T-Mobile Park
Weather · T-Mobile Park
cold air · light wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp51.4°F Wind3.4 mph N Characterout HR Modifier-2 Note51°F, wind 3 mph N (out) — modifier: -2
28
·Nolan Arenado (R) 2
49 · Colin Rea (RHP)
AZ @ CHC · Wrigley Field
2:20p ⚪ D
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
8
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV83.2 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.8×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB16.1% HR/91.16 FIP4.30 IP77.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp42.5°F Wind8.1 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note43°F, wind 8 mph NNW (out) — modifier: -1
29 49 · Germán Márquez (RHP)
CWS @ SD · Petco Park
9:40p ⚪ D
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
20
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV95.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.7×
SD Bullpen
HR/FB14.3% HR/90.63 FIP3.18 IP113.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Petco Park
Weather · Petco Park
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp59.9°F Wind4.6 mph E Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note60°F, wind 5 mph E (out) — modifier: -1
Munetaka Murakami — Home Run
OffGermán Márquez Exit Velo111.1 mph Angle26.0° Distance413 ft StadiumPetco Park
30 49 · Robbie Ray (LHP)
SF @ TB · Tropicana Field
7:10p ⚪ D
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
14
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%nan% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.3×
SF Bullpen
HR/FB11.9% HR/90.70 FIP3.62 IP90.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Tropicana Field
Weather · Tropicana Field
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
Junior Caminero — Home Run
OffRobbie Ray Exit Velo112.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance432 ft StadiumTropicana Field
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247 more waiting in the on-deck circle
Model Health · HR catch rate by tier
season-to-date
S 0.0%
A+ 17.2%
A 18.2%
B 20.0%
C+ 15.1%
C 12.3%
D 7.7%
Best Day
32.0%
May 29
LD 3.2.82

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