⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
CIN
@ 6:45p
PIT
PNC Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.658
Temp
49.1°F
Wind
5.8 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 17 0.306 91.8 · 50.0% 391 60.0% 75.0% 23.3% 29
2 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 46 ⚪ D · · 44 0.292 95.2 · 25.0% 394 22.2% 20.0% 21.1% 36
3 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 39 ⚪ D · · 73 0.298 91.2 · 25.0% 391 7.1% 10.0% 10.5% 40
4 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 122 0.213 89.8 · 10.0% 396 11.1% 10.0% 9.6% 29
5 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 22 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 196 0.068 87.2 · 10.0% 364 7.7% 22.2% 6.2% 34
6 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 18 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 221 0.078 91.3 · 0.0% 363 9.1% 11.1% 3.3% 23
7 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 17 ⚪ D · · 227 0.116 94.7 · 11.8% 379 4.2% 0.0% 4.4% 22
8 Matt McLain Matt McLain 16 ⚪ D · · 233 0.109 88.3 · 4.5% 420 3.7% 10.0% 4.9% 31
9 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 12 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 246 0.132 84.8 · 18.2% 397 9.1% 0.0% 4.9% 16
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 32 0.265 96.2 · 33.3% 415 32.0% 36.4% 28.1% 27
2 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 48 0.275 88.4 · 30.0% 393 9.1% 10.0% 16.2% 30
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 35 ⚪ D · · 103 0.183 90.3 · 19.1% 388 14.3% 18.2% 12.5% 34
4 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 129 0.136 85.6 · 21.1% 385 4.5% 10.0% 9.1% 35
5 Nick Yorke Nick Yorke 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 177 0.089 90.7 · 0.0% 394 8.3% 11.1% 7.8% 16
6 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 24 ⚪ D · · 185 0.119 91.5 · 7.1% 405 11.5% 0.0% 6.2% 29
7 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 20 ⚪ D · · 211 0.115 87.8 · 18.2% 395 0.0% 0.0% 10.3% 33
8 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 19 ⚪ D · · 215 0.080 88.0 · 7.7% 405 7.1% 9.1% 7.1% 29
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 9 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 250 0.049 87.5 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 38
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