⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
SF
@ 7:10p
TB
Tropicana Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.97×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.974
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 49 ⚪ D · · 30 0.231 91.3 · 38.1% 407 25.9% 25.0% 32.9% 42
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 55 0.230 90.5 · 20.0% 393 19.2% 25.0% 23.8% 27
3 Jake Fraley Jake Fraley 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 126 0.200 85.0 · 14.3% 400 10.0% 0.0% 14.0% 16
4 Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz 31 ⚪ D · · 133 0.148 90.4 · 22.2% 366 11.1% 8.3% 10.4% 37
5 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 164 0.088 87.2 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 22
6 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 200 0.106 87.8 · 0.0% 385 5.9% 9.1% 5.1% 29
7 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 18 ⚪ D · · 218 0.042 83.6 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 45
8 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 219 0.106 87.8 · 11.1% 408 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 22
9 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 238 0.034 82.8 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 16
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 43 ⚪ D · · 59 0.238 90.1 · 12.5% 399 12.0% 27.3% 18.2% 39
2 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 39 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 70 0.149 93.6 · 20.0% 386 12.5% 25.0% 13.7% 33
3 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 95 0.155 89.3 · 20.0% 363 7.7% 8.3% 8.5% 40
4 Willy Adames Willy Adames 27 ⚪ D · · 157 0.166 88.4 · 0.0% 375 7.7% 0.0% 6.0% 30
5 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 18 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 216 0.043 91.2 · 7.7% 407 4.2% 9.1% 7.6% 16
6 Harrison Bader Harrison Bader 18 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 217 0.077 87.1 · 14.3% 408 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 29
7 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 17 ⚪ D · · 223 0.065 86.6 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.4% 50
8 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 234 0.091 87.6 · 10.0% 349 3.8% 0.0% 6.3% 30
9 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 237 0.087 89.8 · 11.1% 408 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 31
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