⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
PHI
@ 7:10p
MIA
loanDepot Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.943
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 59 🟠 C · · 6 0.315 93.2 · 42.9% 404 25.9% 30.8% 34.4% 37
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 60 0.240 87.8 · 18.8% 411 18.5% 15.4% 16.1% 38
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 35 ⚪ D · · 96 0.170 91.4 · 20.0% 398 8.0% 8.3% 14.5% 30
4 Trea Turner Trea Turner 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 109 0.119 89.8 · 15.0% 383 14.8% 15.4% 8.9% 43
5 Adolis García Adolis García 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 167 0.155 93.0 · 13.3% 377 0.0% 0.0% 10.1% 34
6 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 168 0.059 88.7 · 10.0% 354 3.8% 0.0% 8.1% 38
7 J.T. Realmuto 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 208 0.093 88.4 · 16.7% 401 4.5% 0.0% 8.9% 10
8 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 224 0.085 88.5 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 31
9 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 11 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 247 0.050 90.1 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 27
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 49 ⚪ D · · 31 0.261 88.3 · 41.2% 371 25.9% 27.3% 37.4% 35
2 Graham Pauley Graham Pauley 31 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 131 0.134 84.0 · 6.2% 362 0.0% 0.0% 9.8% 16
3 Connor Norby Connor Norby 28 ⚪ D · · 150 0.150 88.2 · 20.0% 390 10.7% 10.0% 9.4% 21
4 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 165 0.115 89.3 · 5.3% 377 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 36
5 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 175 0.170 92.3 · 16.7% 390 6.9% 0.0% 10.1% 38
6 Agustín Ramírez Agustín Ramírez 24 ⚪ D · · 182 0.125 88.6 · 12.5% 415 7.1% 9.1% 7.3% 31
7 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 22 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 194 0.085 88.1 · 5.9% 351 6.7% 9.1% 7.3% 33
8 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 16 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 230 0.138 91.2 · 16.7% 387 0.0% 0.0% 9.3% 21
9 Heriberto Hernández 7 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 251 0.031 89.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 15
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