11
HRs allowed
15.5%
HR rate (pool)
21.5%
Overall HR/FB
6.2
FIP
4.67
xFIP
+1.54
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
89
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 89th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
15.5%
Hard-Hit% allowed
71.7%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.3 EV · 384 ft
max EV allowed 111.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR
15D · 3 HR
30D · 7 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Cole Ragans.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
55.8%
83.4
30.0°
4
-0.9
Changeup Offspeed
17.3%
78.7
20.4°
2
+2.5
Slider Breaking
13.8%
81.0
9.3°
1
+0.9
Knuckle Curve Breaking
8.1%
88.7
19.4°
3
+7.1
Cutter Hard
5.0%
78.8
-17.6°
0
+1.0
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups71
HRs allowed (pool)11
Pool HR rate15.5%
Pool HR/game day1.38
Top-15 matchups8
HRs to top-153
Overall HR/FB21.5% 89
HR/9—
FIP6.2 95
xFIP4.67
FIP − xFIP+1.54 97
Barrel% allowed15.5%
Hard-Hit% allowed71.7%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-31
Fastball
Hard · 55.8% usage
-0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.4 mph
Avg launch angle30.0°
HRs allowed4
Pitches404
Changeup
Offspeed · 17.3% usage
+2.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.7 mph
Avg launch angle20.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches125
Slider
Breaking · 13.8% usage
+0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.0 mph
Avg launch angle9.3°
HRs allowed1
Pitches100
Knuckle Curve
Breaking · 8.1% usage
+7.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against88.7 mph
Avg launch angle19.4°
HRs allowed3
Pitches59
Cutter
Hard · 5.0% usage
+1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.8 mph
Avg launch angle-17.6°
HRs allowed0
Pitches36
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Cole Ragans.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
11 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.3 EV · 384 ft
7 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 8 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-05-06
9
0
106.4
2026-05-01
9
2
107.5
2026-04-25
9
1
110.0
2026-04-19
9
3
111.6
2026-04-14
8
0
106.7
2026-04-08
9
1
107.8
2026-04-02
9
1
106.8
2026-03-27
9
3
110.2
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Cole Ragans isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Cole Ragans isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
9
3
33%
9
3
33%
27
2
7%
9
2
22%
9
1
11%
8
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Cole Ragans
How many home runs has Cole Ragans allowed this season?
Cole Ragans has allowed 11 home runs across 8 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Cole Ragans?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Cole Ragans include Aaron Judge (1), Angel Martinez (1), Ben Rice (1) and 15 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.