⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
ATL
@ 8:40p
COL
Coors Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.05×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.737
Temp
43.0°F
Wind
2.0 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 64 🔵 C+ · · 2 0.330 92.7 · 13.3% 412 26.7% 30.8% 28.2% 42
2 Michael Harris II 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 9 0.220 94.8 · 16.7% 391 17.9% 27.3% 26.5% 37
3 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 14 0.216 87.0 · 23.1% 382 20.0% 23.1% 19.0% 49
4 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 21 0.197 90.9 · 31.8% 400 23.3% 15.4% 17.9% 39
5 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 50 0.219 89.6 · 22.2% 398 12.0% 9.1% 16.9% 21
6 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 35 ⚪ D · · 92 0.130 89.1 · 0.0% 411 12.5% 7.7% 5.5% 35
7 Austin Riley Austin Riley 35 ⚪ D · · 93 0.128 90.0 · 30.0% 385 6.7% 7.7% 12.4% 32
8 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 153 0.068 90.3 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 24
9 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 163 0.151 87.2 · 0.0% 393 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 34
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman 63 🔵 C+ · · 3 0.318 94.0 · 34.8% 403 24.0% 25.0% 38.3% 27
2 Mickey Moniak Mickey Moniak 60 🔵 C+ · · 4 0.345 89.8 · 30.4% 416 20.0% 15.4% 35.2% 33
3 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 35 ⚪ D · · 91 0.141 90.8 · 23.1% 389 7.7% 8.3% 10.3% 27
4 TJ Rumfield 32 ⚪ D · · 124 0.154 87.0 · 16.7% 417 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 43
5 Willi Castro Willi Castro 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 138 0.110 88.5 · 9.1% 436 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 16
6 Kyle Karros Kyle Karros 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 141 0.068 90.2 · 11.1% 448 5.6% 7.1% 8.7% 32
7 Troy Johnston Troy Johnston 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 147 0.142 89.4 · 23.1% 415 0.0% 0.0% 10.6% 34
8 Brenton Doyle Brenton Doyle 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 154 0.073 89.8 · 8.3% 408 4.0% 0.0% 8.3% 20
9 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 20 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 206 0.097 87.1 · 12.0% 401 3.7% 0.0% 8.7% 27
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