⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
TOR
@ 8:10p
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.93×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.650
Temp
44.0°F
Wind
10.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 47 0.184 93.1 · 27.8% 400 17.6% 15.4% 17.5% 32
2 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 37 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 83 0.159 92.3 · 28.6% 416 0.0% 0.0% 18.9% 31
3 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 101 0.149 84.7 · 16.7% 391 11.1% 7.7% 9.7% 24
4 George Springer George Springer 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 110 0.179 88.3 · 33.3% 389 7.7% 0.0% 16.1% 5
5 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 31 ⚪ D · · 135 0.130 86.4 · 5.3% 360 3.3% 7.7% 6.4% 48
6 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 158 0.169 86.5 · 15.0% 386 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 34
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 176 0.119 91.2 · 11.1% 434 6.7% 7.7% 7.4% 42
8 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 24 ⚪ D · · 179 0.077 86.9 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 20
9 Davis Schneider Davis Schneider 17 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 226 0.109 86.8 · 14.3% 366 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 13
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 56 0.227 88.6 · 16.7% 400 25.0% 41.7% 23.2% 39
2 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 36 ⚪ D · · 89 0.174 91.3 · 11.1% 397 15.4% 18.2% 13.7% 28
3 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 36 ⚪ D · · 90 0.179 89.1 · 25.0% 364 17.9% 15.4% 13.5% 36
4 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 24 ⚪ D · · 183 0.116 89.3 · 11.1% 413 11.1% 0.0% 7.2% 18
5 Austin Martin Austin Martin 23 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 190 0.115 86.1 · 11.1% 406 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 22
6 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 23 ⚪ D · · 191 0.138 86.6 · 10.0% 398 3.8% 0.0% 7.5% 28
7 Josh Bell Josh Bell 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 214 0.131 89.0 · 7.7% 392 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 42
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 14 ⚪ D · · 240 0.060 84.3 · 0.0% 367 3.6% 0.0% 5.1% 39
9 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 248 0.052 87.6 · 16.7% 423 3.8% 0.0% 7.7% 18
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