BAL
@
7:05p
NYY
Park Factor
1.25×
Weather Mod
-5.0%
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.624
Temp
52.6°F
Wind
10.4 mph
in
Roof
open
Will Warren
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 12 | 0.279 | 89.7 | · | 26.1% | 388 | 28.6% | 23.1% | 44.8% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 20 | 0.221 | 92.5 | · | 30.8% | 410 | 20.0% | 18.2% | 40.7% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Coby Mayo | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 25 | 0.166 | 89.0 | · | 10.0% | 429 | 11.5% | 25.0% | 14.4% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 49 | 0.185 | 88.6 | · | 33.3% | 396 | 22.2% | 23.1% | 15.0% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Taylor Ward | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.142 | 89.6 | · | 0.0% | 394 | 3.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Pete Alonso | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 75 | 0.162 | 94.8 | · | 21.1% | 397 | 10.0% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Dylan Beavers | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.125 | 87.5 | · | 18.2% | 406 | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Leody Taveras | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 104 | 0.143 | 87.5 | · | 21.4% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.3% | 27 |
| 9 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 242 | 0.018 | 92.0 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 13 |