⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
LAD
@ 8:15p
STL
Busch Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.98×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.781
Temp
52.4°F
Wind
8.1 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nathan Church Nathan Church 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 34 0.200 87.1 · 33.3% 387 21.4% 25.0% 31.3% 36
2 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 46 ⚪ D · · 40 0.253 95.5 · 33.3% 409 18.8% 9.1% 14.0% 28
3 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 62 0.203 90.0 · 20.8% 394 8.3% 8.3% 29.0% 40
4 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 63 0.181 90.2 · 18.8% 400 11.1% 28.6% 14.4% 35
5 Pedro Pagés Pedro Pagés 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 68 0.183 84.9 · 25.0% 397 12.5% 0.0% 15.4% 23
6 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 97 0.176 91.5 · 15.0% 420 14.8% 18.2% 13.4% 41
7 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 29 ⚪ D · · 144 0.143 87.5 · 17.4% 407 7.7% 8.3% 12.3% 37
8 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 23 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 187 0.053 87.5 · 16.7% 415 0.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20
9 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 23 ⚪ D · · 189 0.107 86.0 · 9.1% 373 3.8% 9.1% 5.3% 38
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 46 ⚪ D · · 41 0.218 94.5 · 33.3% 400 10.7% 7.7% 28.0% 33
2 Max Muncy Max Muncy 44 ⚪ D · · 54 0.163 91.9 · 40.0% 409 22.4% 26.1% 20.9% 55
3 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 107 0.130 89.2 · 16.7% 404 3.7% 7.7% 13.3% 37
4 Andy Pages Andy Pages 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 108 0.197 90.3 · 20.0% 392 14.3% 0.0% 12.6% 38
5 Teoscar Hernández Teoscar Hernández 33 ⚪ D · · 118 0.163 90.2 · 0.0% 387 6.2% 0.0% 6.9% 28
6 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 130 0.155 92.0 · 16.7% 412 7.4% 0.0% 15.8% 38
7 Will Smith Will Smith 30 ⚪ D · · 140 0.112 88.8 · 0.0% 406 11.1% 8.3% 5.1% 28
8 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 156 0.091 90.1 · 9.1% 413 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 23
9 Hyeseong Kim Hyeseong Kim 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 197 0.093 86.2 · 10.0% 372 0.0% 0.0% 12.0% 31
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