⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
LAD
@ 7:15p
STL
Busch Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.02×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.816
Temp
53.8°F
Wind
3 mph
in
Roof
open
Roki Sasaki
Roki Sasaki RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 54 🟠 C · · 13 0.253 95.5 · 33.3% 409 17.6% 9.1% 28.5% 30
2 Nathan Church Nathan Church 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 18 0.200 87.0 · 33.3% 387 20.0% 25.0% 30.2% 36
3 Pedro Pagés Pedro Pagés 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 30 0.183 85.0 · 23.1% 397 11.1% 0.0% 30.7% 21
4 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 37 0.203 89.8 · 20.8% 394 7.7% 8.3% 28.1% 40
5 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 51 0.176 91.4 · 19.1% 414 17.9% 27.3% 21.0% 40
6 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 43 ⚪ D · · 55 0.181 90.6 · 18.8% 400 10.5% 14.3% 20.6% 34
7 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 36 ⚪ D · · 92 0.143 87.6 · 20.0% 403 11.1% 8.3% 11.8% 39
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 29 ⚪ D · · 134 0.107 86.1 · 9.1% 373 3.7% 9.1% 10.8% 36
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 142 0.053 87.5 · 16.7% 415 0.0% 0.0% 9.7% 20
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 42 ⚪ D · · 59 0.218 94.4 · 13.0% 400 10.3% 7.7% 13.8% 33
2 Max Muncy Max Muncy 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 104 0.163 92.3 · 25.8% 409 21.6% 17.4% 13.5% 54
3 Andy Pages Andy Pages 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 110 0.197 90.4 · 20.0% 392 13.8% 0.0% 14.6% 38
4 Teoscar Hernández Teoscar Hernández 32 ⚪ D · · 117 0.163 90.0 · 31.6% 387 5.9% 0.0% 13.8% 28
5 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 123 0.130 89.4 · 9.1% 404 3.6% 7.7% 7.6% 37
6 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 132 0.155 92.1 · 7.1% 412 7.1% 0.0% 8.5% 38
7 Will Smith Will Smith 29 ⚪ D · · 135 0.112 88.8 · 12.5% 406 10.7% 8.3% 8.6% 26
8 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 206 0.091 90.1 · 7.7% 413 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 19
9 Hyeseong Kim Hyeseong Kim 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 208 0.093 86.4 · 11.1% 372 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 30
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