AZ
@
2:20p
CHC
Park Factor
1.04×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.836
Temp
45.6°F
Wind
3 mph
out
Roof
open
Shota Imanaga
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 14 | 0.326 | 87.8 | · | 57.1% | 395 | 18.8% | 18.2% | 32.8% | 41 |
| 2 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 38 | 0.274 | 90.0 | · | 16.7% | 408 | 16.7% | 18.2% | 26.4% | 23 |
| 3 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 71 | 0.204 | 85.7 | · | 20.0% | 351 | 6.7% | 10.0% | 19.6% | 12 |
| 4 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 81 | 0.167 | 87.5 | · | 16.7% | 399 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 10.5% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Nolan Arenado | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 86 | 0.179 | 83.4 | · | 26.3% | 400 | 15.4% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Ketel Marte | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 122 | 0.159 | 92.4 | · | 26.3% | 411 | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Alek Thomas | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 133 | 0.171 | 89.4 | · | 11.1% | 408 | 6.2% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 172 | 0.140 | 86.2 | · | 14.3% | 382 | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
Jose Fernandez | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 179 | 0.145 | 89.6 | · | 37.5% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 29 |
Ryne Nelson
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 21 | 0.282 | 91.5 | · | 26.3% | 390 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 27.1% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 31 | 0.225 | 90.5 | · | 16.7% | 393 | 19.4% | 15.4% | 21.1% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Ian Happ | 46 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 40 | 0.230 | 88.5 | · | 29.4% | 397 | 25.8% | 15.4% | 25.8% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 52 | 0.121 | 91.3 | · | 12.5% | 385 | 10.0% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Shaw | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 69 | 0.206 | 86.7 | · | 28.6% | 357 | 15.4% | 9.1% | 17.3% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 80 | 0.158 | 86.4 | · | 7.4% | 383 | 12.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 48 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 89 | 0.113 | 90.2 | · | 23.8% | 395 | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 43 |
| 8 |
|
Michael Busch | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 90 | 0.088 | 85.8 | · | 9.5% | 398 | 6.5% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 37 |
| 9 |
|
Carson Kelly | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 143 | 0.133 | 91.3 | · | 0.0% | 414 | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 23 |