⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
CIN
@ 4:05p
PIT
PNC Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.83×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.580
Temp
42.5°F
Wind
5.8 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 20 0.306 92.0 · 45.5% 391 50.0% 60.0% 20.8% 28
2 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 45 ⚪ D · · 46 0.292 94.8 · 23.8% 394 21.4% 20.0% 19.0% 36
3 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 39 ⚪ D · · 75 0.298 91.1 · 25.0% 391 6.7% 10.0% 11.6% 41
4 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 116 0.213 90.0 · 10.0% 396 10.7% 10.0% 11.5% 27
5 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 22 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 187 0.068 87.5 · 10.0% 364 7.4% 22.2% 5.5% 35
6 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 18 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 212 0.078 91.6 · 0.0% 363 8.3% 11.1% 3.6% 25
7 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 16 ⚪ D · · 226 0.116 93.9 · 11.1% 379 4.0% 0.0% 4.9% 23
8 Matt McLain Matt McLain 16 ⚪ D · · 228 0.109 87.7 · 4.3% 420 3.6% 10.0% 5.2% 32
9 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 11 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 248 0.132 84.8 · 18.2% 397 8.3% 0.0% 5.4% 13
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 66 0.265 96.3 · 33.3% 415 30.8% 27.3% 20.2% 27
2 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.275 88.7 · 30.0% 393 8.7% 10.0% 11.6% 29
3 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 29 ⚪ D · · 141 0.183 90.7 · 19.1% 388 13.3% 18.2% 8.5% 36
4 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 160 0.136 85.5 · 19.1% 385 4.3% 10.0% 6.4% 35
5 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 21 ⚪ D · · 196 0.119 91.7 · 13.3% 415 14.8% 8.3% 5.0% 30
6 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 19 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 210 0.080 88.4 · 14.3% 412 10.3% 18.2% 6.2% 28
7 Nick Yorke Nick Yorke 18 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 213 0.089 90.7 · 0.0% 394 7.7% 11.1% 4.1% 16
8 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 14 ⚪ D · · 237 0.115 87.7 · 18.2% 395 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 34
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 3 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 261 0.049 86.5 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 3.4% 39
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