⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
HOU
@ 1:35p
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.83×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cold air · strong wind out · roof open
Combined
0.994
Temp
45.7°F
Wind
15.0 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Christian Walker Christian Walker 48 ⚪ D · · 32 0.280 90.8 · 22.2% 398 21.9% 33.3% 25.6% 38
2 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 35 0.381 93.5 · 31.2% 393 44.4% 33.3% 24.0% 46
3 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 113 0.208 87.4 · 40.0% 409 16.7% 16.7% 20.0% 26
4 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 125 0.145 87.4 · 0.0% 374 6.2% 16.7% 7.5% 44
5 Yainer Diaz Yainer Diaz 29 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 132 0.120 87.8 · 16.7% 380 6.9% 9.1% 7.3% 37
6 Carlos Correa Carlos Correa 20 ⚪ D · · 199 0.129 89.5 · 42.9% 384 5.6% 8.3% 10.5% 35
7 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 20 ⚪ D · · 201 0.146 85.6 · 21.4% 378 6.7% 0.0% 8.6% 36
8 Cam Smith Cam Smith 17 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 216 0.138 89.0 · 11.1% 406 12.9% 9.1% 7.1% 22
9 Joey Loperfido Joey Loperfido 6 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 241 0.086 90.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 16
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 46 ⚪ D · · 38 0.224 92.3 · 28.6% 403 21.4% 33.3% 25.2% 37
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 134 0.175 89.8 · 17.2% 380 14.3% 8.3% 9.5% 43
3 Carlos Narváez Carlos Narváez 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 150 0.125 92.4 · 15.4% 386 16.7% 20.0% 12.3% 19
4 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 26 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 159 0.091 86.0 · 11.1% 386 3.6% 8.3% 6.9% 39
5 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 21 ⚪ D · · 193 0.116 88.7 · 15.4% 337 3.7% 0.0% 7.3% 31
6 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 20 ⚪ D · · 197 0.120 88.3 · 0.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 29
7 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 19 ⚪ D · · 205 0.080 89.9 · 20.0% 416 3.6% 9.1% 7.1% 35
8 Trevor Story Trevor Story 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 215 0.098 88.9 · 12.5% 407 7.1% 0.0% 7.0% 33
9 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 227 0.084 92.3 · 6.7% 391 4.0% 0.0% 5.9% 20
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