HOU
@
1:35p
BOS
Park Factor
0.83×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cold air · strong wind out · roof open
Combined
0.994
Temp
45.7°F
Wind
15.0 mph
out
Roof
open
Ranger Suarez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Christian Walker | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 32 | 0.280 | 90.8 | · | 22.2% | 398 | 21.9% | 33.3% | 25.6% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 35 | 0.381 | 93.5 | · | 31.2% | 393 | 44.4% | 33.3% | 24.0% | 46 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Matthews | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 113 | 0.208 | 87.4 | · | 40.0% | 409 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 125 | 0.145 | 87.4 | · | 0.0% | 374 | 6.2% | 16.7% | 7.5% | 44 |
| 5 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 132 | 0.120 | 87.8 | · | 16.7% | 380 | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Carlos Correa | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 199 | 0.129 | 89.5 | · | 42.9% | 384 | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Jose Altuve | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 201 | 0.146 | 85.6 | · | 21.4% | 378 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Cam Smith | 17 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 216 | 0.138 | 89.0 | · | 11.1% | 406 | 12.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
Joey Loperfido | 6 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 241 | 0.086 | 90.0 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 16 |
Cody Bolton
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 38 | 0.224 | 92.3 | · | 28.6% | 403 | 21.4% | 33.3% | 25.2% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 134 | 0.175 | 89.8 | · | 17.2% | 380 | 14.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 43 |
| 3 |
|
Carlos Narváez | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 150 | 0.125 | 92.4 | · | 15.4% | 386 | 16.7% | 20.0% | 12.3% | 19 |
| 4 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 159 | 0.091 | 86.0 | · | 11.1% | 386 | 3.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 21 | ⚪ D | · | · | 193 | 0.116 | 88.7 | · | 15.4% | 337 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 197 | 0.120 | 88.3 | · | 0.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Jarren Duran | 19 | ⚪ D | · | · | 205 | 0.080 | 89.9 | · | 20.0% | 416 | 3.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Trevor Story | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 215 | 0.098 | 88.9 | · | 12.5% | 407 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Roman Anthony | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 227 | 0.084 | 92.3 | · | 6.7% | 391 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 20 |