1
HRs allowed
5.6%
HR rate (pool)
19.8%
Overall HR/FB
4.92
FIP
4.56
xFIP
+0.35
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
87
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 87th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
90.9%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 111.8 EV · 376 ft
max EV allowed 111.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR ↑
15D · 1 HR ↑
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Cody Bolton.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
28.4%
81.2
34.0°
0
+1.9
Cutter Hard
23.8%
81.3
13.9°
1
+0.5
Sinker Hard
15.1%
83.8
13.3°
2
+3.2
Curveball Breaking
11.5%
83.9
-3.0°
0
-0.6
Changeup Offspeed
10.7%
82.1
9.3°
0
-0.0
Sweeper Breaking
10.5%
79.0
27.0°
0
+0.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups18
HRs allowed (pool)1
Pool HR rate5.6%
Pool HR/game day0.5
Top-15 matchups1
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB19.8% 87
HR/9—
FIP4.92 78
xFIP4.56
FIP − xFIP+0.35 67
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed90.9%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-17
Fastball
Hard · 28.4% usage
+1.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.2 mph
Avg launch angle34.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches111
Cutter
Hard · 23.8% usage
+0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.3 mph
Avg launch angle13.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches93
Sinker
Hard · 15.1% usage
+3.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.8 mph
Avg launch angle13.3°
HRs allowed2
Pitches59
Curveball
Breaking · 11.5% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.9 mph
Avg launch angle-3.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches45
Changeup
Offspeed · 10.7% usage
-0.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.1 mph
Avg launch angle9.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches42
Sweeper
Breaking · 10.5% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.0 mph
Avg launch angle27.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches41
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Cody Bolton.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
1 allowed · scored pool
avg 111.8 EV · 376 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 2 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-05-03
9
1
111.8
2026-04-06
9
0
104.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Cody Bolton isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.