⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
TOR
@ 12:45p
MIN
Target Field · 9 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.236
Temp
57.7°F
Wind
10.4 mph
out
Roof
open
Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 73 0.184 93.0 · 27.8% 400 15.8% 15.4% 18.4% 32
2 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 37 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 77 0.159 92.8 · 38.9% 412 12.5% 15.4% 13.0% 35
3 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 26 ⚪ D · · 158 0.149 85.1 · 15.0% 391 10.0% 7.7% 9.9% 34
4 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 25 ⚪ D · · 163 0.130 86.4 · 5.3% 360 3.1% 7.7% 4.0% 46
5 George Springer George Springer 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 173 0.179 88.6 · 30.0% 389 7.1% 0.0% 7.8% 11
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 22 ⚪ D · · 181 0.119 91.5 · 7.7% 434 6.2% 7.7% 4.4% 43
7 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 191 0.169 86.0 · 14.3% 386 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 31
8 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 18 ⚪ D · · 208 0.077 86.9 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 14
9 Davis Schneider Davis Schneider 11 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 239 0.109 87.3 · 14.3% 366 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 12
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