TOR
@
12:45p
MIN
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.236
Temp
57.7°F
Wind
10.4 mph
out
Roof
open
Joe Ryan
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jesús Sánchez | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.184 | 93.0 | · | 27.8% | 400 | 15.8% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Kazuma Okamoto | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 77 | 0.159 | 92.8 | · | 38.9% | 412 | 12.5% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Daulton Varsho | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 158 | 0.149 | 85.1 | · | 15.0% | 391 | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Ernie Clement | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 163 | 0.130 | 86.4 | · | 5.3% | 360 | 3.1% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 46 |
| 5 |
|
George Springer | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 173 | 0.179 | 88.6 | · | 30.0% | 389 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 11 |
| 6 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 181 | 0.119 | 91.5 | · | 7.7% | 434 | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 43 |
| 7 |
|
Andrés Giménez | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 191 | 0.169 | 86.0 | · | 14.3% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Nathan Lukes | 18 | ⚪ D | · | · | 208 | 0.077 | 86.9 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 14 |
| 9 |
|
Davis Schneider | 11 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 239 | 0.109 | 87.3 | · | 14.3% | 366 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 12 |