BAL
@
1:35p
NYY
Park Factor
1.25×
Weather Mod
-7.0%
cold air · strong wind in · roof open
Combined
0.374
Temp
49.3°F
Wind
16.1 mph
in
Roof
open
Max Fried
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 12 | 0.279 | 89.7 | · | 66.7% | 388 | 26.7% | 15.4% | 26.2% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Coby Mayo | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 19 | 0.166 | 89.0 | · | 25.0% | 429 | 10.7% | 25.0% | 18.6% | 20 |
| 3 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 24 | 0.221 | 92.4 | · | 33.3% | 410 | 17.6% | 18.2% | 22.2% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Pete Alonso | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 36 | 0.162 | 95.2 | · | 6.7% | 395 | 15.6% | 30.8% | 13.6% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 57 | 0.185 | 88.6 | · | 31.2% | 396 | 20.0% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Dylan Beavers | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.125 | 87.3 | · | 14.3% | 406 | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Ward | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 93 | 0.142 | 89.6 | · | 12.5% | 394 | 3.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Leody Taveras | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 126 | 0.143 | 87.5 | · | 12.5% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 25 |
| 9 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 229 | 0.018 | 92.4 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 16 |