MIL
@
1:35p
WSH
Park Factor
1.01×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · strong crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.905
Temp
50.0°F
Wind
18.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gary Sánchez | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 16 | 0.311 | 88.6 | · | 37.5% | 405 | 18.2% | 0.0% | 20.1% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Brice Turang | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 49 | 0.220 | 92.7 | · | 26.3% | 401 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 24.4% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Jake Bauers | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 51 | 0.209 | 92.6 | · | 32.0% | 395 | 13.3% | 0.0% | 25.1% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Sal Frelick | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 84 | 0.094 | 84.6 | · | 14.3% | 402 | 7.4% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 137 | 0.135 | 90.4 | · | 16.7% | 420 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.9% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
William Contreras | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 138 | 0.112 | 89.4 | · | 27.3% | 404 | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 43 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Rengifo | 24 | ⚪ D | · | · | 170 | 0.087 | 87.0 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
David Hamilton | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 223 | 0.029 | 84.6 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Brandon Lockridge | 12 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 234 | 0.040 | 85.4 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 16 |