⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
CIN
@ 1:35p
PIT
PNC Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.80×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
0.802
Temp
47.5°F
Wind
8.0 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 11 0.306 92.3 · 41.7% 391 42.9% 50.0% 27.2% 27
2 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 47 ⚪ D · · 34 0.292 94.7 · 23.8% 394 20.7% 20.0% 25.5% 34
3 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 39 ⚪ D · · 68 0.298 91.2 · 25.0% 391 6.2% 10.0% 12.3% 40
4 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 96 0.213 90.3 · 9.1% 396 10.3% 10.0% 11.0% 29
5 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 22 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 184 0.068 87.4 · 10.0% 364 7.1% 22.2% 7.6% 34
6 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 18 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 211 0.078 91.8 · 0.0% 363 7.7% 11.1% 3.8% 24
7 Matt McLain Matt McLain 16 ⚪ D · · 220 0.109 87.8 · 4.3% 420 3.4% 10.0% 5.3% 33
8 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 233 0.116 93.5 · 10.5% 379 3.8% 0.0% 5.1% 24
9 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 12 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 237 0.132 84.8 · 18.2% 397 7.7% 0.0% 5.7% 10
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 37 0.265 96.5 · 33.3% 415 29.6% 27.3% 36.2% 26
2 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 46 0.275 88.7 · 30.0% 393 8.3% 10.0% 20.8% 26
3 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 139 0.136 85.1 · 18.2% 385 4.2% 10.0% 10.4% 38
4 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 148 0.183 90.9 · 19.1% 388 12.5% 9.1% 13.6% 36
5 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 23 ⚪ D · · 179 0.119 91.4 · 13.3% 415 14.3% 8.3% 8.9% 30
6 Nick Yorke Nick Yorke 21 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 192 0.089 90.7 · 0.0% 394 7.1% 11.1% 7.0% 12
7 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 20 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 198 0.080 88.7 · 13.3% 412 10.0% 9.1% 5.3% 27
8 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 16 ⚪ D · · 219 0.115 88.5 · 18.2% 395 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 35
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 5 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 242 0.049 86.7 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.3% 42
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