CIN
@
1:35p
PIT
Park Factor
0.80×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
0.802
Temp
47.5°F
Wind
8.0 mph
out
Roof
open
Braxton Ashcraft
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 11 | 0.306 | 92.3 | · | 41.7% | 391 | 42.9% | 50.0% | 27.2% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 34 | 0.292 | 94.7 | · | 23.8% | 394 | 20.7% | 20.0% | 25.5% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 68 | 0.298 | 91.2 | · | 25.0% | 391 | 6.2% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Steer | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 96 | 0.213 | 90.3 | · | 9.1% | 396 | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
TJ Friedl | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 184 | 0.068 | 87.4 | · | 10.0% | 364 | 7.1% | 22.2% | 7.6% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Ke'Bryan Hayes | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 211 | 0.078 | 91.8 | · | 0.0% | 363 | 7.7% | 11.1% | 3.8% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Matt McLain | 16 | ⚪ D | · | · | 220 | 0.109 | 87.8 | · | 4.3% | 420 | 3.4% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 233 | 0.116 | 93.5 | · | 10.5% | 379 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Eugenio Suárez | 12 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 237 | 0.132 | 84.8 | · | 18.2% | 397 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 10 |
Chase Burns
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 37 | 0.265 | 96.5 | · | 33.3% | 415 | 29.6% | 27.3% | 36.2% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 46 | 0.275 | 88.7 | · | 30.0% | 393 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 20.8% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 139 | 0.136 | 85.1 | · | 18.2% | 385 | 4.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 148 | 0.183 | 90.9 | · | 19.1% | 388 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 179 | 0.119 | 91.4 | · | 13.3% | 415 | 14.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Yorke | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 192 | 0.089 | 90.7 | · | 0.0% | 394 | 7.1% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 12 |
| 7 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 198 | 0.080 | 88.7 | · | 13.3% | 412 | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 16 | ⚪ D | · | · | 219 | 0.115 | 88.5 | · | 18.2% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 5 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 242 | 0.049 | 86.7 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.3% | 42 |