⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs

Slate · 2026-03-30

↩ today 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Card
225 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…
2026-03-30
Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather
🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers
#3 Michael Busch vs Ryan Johnson FIP 5.52 HR/FB 21.1% #8 Seiya Suzuki vs Ryan Johnson FIP 5.52 HR/FB 21.1% #9 Dansby Swanson vs Ryan Johnson FIP 5.52 HR/FB 21.1%
📦 STACK Parker Messick FIP 2.98 HR/FB 10.5% → #1 Shohei Ohtani, #14 Teoscar Hernandez
📦 STACK Bryce Elder FIP 4.55 HR/FB 15.9% → #2 Nick Kurtz, #13 Tyler Soderstrom
📦 STACK Ryan Johnson FIP 5.52 HR/FB 21.1% → #3 Michael Busch, #8 Seiya Suzuki, #9 Dansby Swanson
📦 STACK Chris Bassitt FIP 4.01 HR/FB 13.2% → #4 Corey Seager, #12 Wyatt Langford
# Batter Score Edge Pitcher · Game Time Tier Hand '26 HR Form Due BP WT Hit?
1 79 · Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP)
COL @ TOR · Rogers Centre
🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
5
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.8×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB13.8% HR/91.43 FIP4.94 IP472.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rogers Centre
Weather · Rogers Centre
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
George Springer — Home Run
OffTomoyuki Sugano Exit Velo105.2 mph Angle25.0° Distance416 ft StadiumRogers Centre
2
·Corey Seager (L) 3
77 · Chris Bassitt (RHP)
TEX @ BAL · Camden Yards
🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
BAL Bullpen
HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP4.32 IP320.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.4°F Wind11.5 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Note55°F, wind 12 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3
3
·Aaron Judge (R) 3
77 · Luis Castillo (RHP)
NYY @ SEA · T-Mobile Park
🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
17
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls9 BBE Barrel%16.0% Avg EV95.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
SEA Bullpen
HR/FB11.6% HR/91.00 FIP3.84 IP492.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
T-Mobile Park
Weather · T-Mobile Park
cold air · light wind in · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp34.2°F Wind3.4 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Note34°F, wind 3 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -3
4 76 · Bryce Elder (RHP)
ATH @ ATL · Truist Park
🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB13.0% HR/91.36 FIP4.26 IP380.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp59.0°F Wind5.8 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note59°F, wind 6 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
5 71 · Simeon Woods Richardson (RHP)
MIN @ KC · Kauffman Stadium
🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
9
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%13.0% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.2×
MIN Bullpen
HR/FB7.6% HR/90.80 FIP3.81 IP259.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Kauffman Stadium
Weather · Kauffman Stadium
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp62.8°F Wind11.5 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Note63°F, wind 12 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +1
6
·Shohei Ohtani (L) 4
69 · Parker Messick (LHP)
CLE @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
10
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV94.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.6×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB7.3% HR/90.72 FIP3.36 IP496.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
cool air · wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp58.5°F Wind0 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note59°F, wind 0 mph N (in) — modifier: -1
7
·Nick Kurtz (L) 3
69 · Bryce Elder (RHP)
ATH @ ATL · Truist Park
🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
11
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls10 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB13.0% HR/91.36 FIP4.26 IP380.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp59.0°F Wind5.8 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note59°F, wind 6 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
8
·Jake Burger (R) 4
69 · Chris Bassitt (RHP)
TEX @ BAL · Camden Yards
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
10
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.7×
BAL Bullpen
HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP4.32 IP320.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.4°F Wind11.5 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Note55°F, wind 12 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3
9
·Mike Trout (R) 3
68 · Edward Cabrera (RHP)
LAA @ CHC · Wrigley Field
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.6×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB11.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.04 IP443.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp53.9°F Wind8.1 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier-2 Note54°F, wind 8 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: -2
10 68 · Roki Sasaki (RHP)
CLE @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
🔵 C+
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
0
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
LAD Bullpen
HR/FB11.0% HR/91.14 FIP3.98 IP557.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
cool air · wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp58.5°F Wind0 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note59°F, wind 0 mph N (in) — modifier: -1
11 68 · Lance McCullers Jr. (RHP)
BOS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
5
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.1×
HOU Bullpen
HR/FB10.0% HR/91.04 FIP3.41 IP402.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Minute Maid Park
Weather · Minute Maid Park
mild air · steady crosswind · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp66.6°F Wind9.2 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note67°F, wind 9 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +0
12 67 · Lance McCullers Jr. (RHP)
BOS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park
🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
6
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
7.0×
HOU Bullpen
HR/FB10.0% HR/91.04 FIP3.41 IP402.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Minute Maid Park
Weather · Minute Maid Park
mild air · steady crosswind · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp66.6°F Wind9.2 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note67°F, wind 9 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +0
13
·Kyle Manzardo (L) 2
66 · Roki Sasaki (RHP)
CLE @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
6
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
LAD Bullpen
HR/FB11.0% HR/91.14 FIP3.98 IP557.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
cool air · wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp58.5°F Wind0 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note59°F, wind 0 mph N (in) — modifier: -1
14 66 · Jack Leiter (RHP)
TEX @ BAL · Camden Yards
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
2
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls11 BBE Barrel%13.4% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB9.9% HR/91.04 FIP3.82 IP441.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.4°F Wind11.5 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Note55°F, wind 12 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3
15 65 · Davis Martin (RHP)
CWS @ MIA · loanDepot Park
🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
4
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls5 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
CWS Bullpen
HR/FB10.3% HR/91.09 FIP4.33 IP519.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
loanDepot Park
Weather · loanDepot Park
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
16
Ian Happ (S) 4
65 · Ryan Johnson (RHP)
LAA @ CHC · Wrigley Field
🔵 C+
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.8×
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB14.1% HR/91.47 FIP4.65 IP486.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp53.9°F Wind8.1 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier-2 Note54°F, wind 8 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: -2
Ian Happ — Home Run
OffRyan Johnson Exit Velo101.6 mph Angle42.0° Distance378 ft StadiumWrigley Field
17
·Brandon Lowe (L) 3
64 · Kyle Harrison (LHP)
TB @ MIL · American Family Field
🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
15
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
MIL Bullpen
HR/FB8.9% HR/90.78 FIP3.48 IP481.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
American Family Field
Weather · American Family Field
cold air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp47.2°F Wind3.4 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier-2 Note47°F, wind 3 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: -2
18
·Zach Neto (R) 2
64 · Edward Cabrera (RHP)
LAA @ CHC · Wrigley Field
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
10
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.2×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB11.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.04 IP443.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp53.9°F Wind8.1 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier-2 Note54°F, wind 8 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: -2
19
·Drake Baldwin (L) 4
64 · Jacob Lopez (LHP)
ATH @ ATL · Truist Park
🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.5×
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB9.9% HR/91.10 FIP4.54 IP365.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp59.0°F Wind5.8 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note59°F, wind 6 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
20 64 · Lance McCullers Jr. (RHP)
BOS @ HOU · Minute Maid Park
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
3
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
HOU Bullpen
HR/FB10.0% HR/91.04 FIP3.41 IP402.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Minute Maid Park
Weather · Minute Maid Park
mild air · steady crosswind · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp66.6°F Wind9.2 mph SE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Note67°F, wind 9 mph SE (cross) — modifier: +0
21 63 · Kyle Harrison (LHP)
TB @ MIL · American Family Field
🔵 C+
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
14
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
MIL Bullpen
HR/FB8.9% HR/90.78 FIP3.48 IP481.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
American Family Field
Weather · American Family Field
cold air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp47.2°F Wind3.4 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier-2 Note47°F, wind 3 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: -2
22 63 · Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP)
COL @ TOR · Rogers Centre
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
1
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
COL Bullpen
HR/FB13.8% HR/91.43 FIP4.94 IP472.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rogers Centre
Weather · Rogers Centre
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
23
·Max Muncy (S) 6
62 · Bryce Elder (RHP)
ATH @ ATL · Truist Park
🔵 C+
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
2
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB13.0% HR/91.36 FIP4.26 IP380.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp59.0°F Wind5.8 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note59°F, wind 6 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
24
·Will Smith (R) 2
62 · Parker Messick (LHP)
CLE @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
🔵 C+
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
6
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB7.3% HR/90.72 FIP3.36 IP496.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
cool air · wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp58.5°F Wind0 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note59°F, wind 0 mph N (in) — modifier: -1
25
·Max Muncy (S) 6
61 · Parker Messick (LHP)
CLE @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
🔵 C+
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
2
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB7.3% HR/90.72 FIP3.36 IP496.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
cool air · wind in · roof open
Roofopen Temp58.5°F Wind0 mph N Characterin HR Modifier-1 Note59°F, wind 0 mph N (in) — modifier: -1
26 61 · Jack Leiter (RHP)
TEX @ BAL · Camden Yards
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
0
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
TEX Bullpen
HR/FB9.9% HR/91.04 FIP3.82 IP441.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp55.4°F Wind11.5 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Note55°F, wind 12 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +3
27
·Jorge Soler (R) 3
61 · Edward Cabrera (RHP)
LAA @ CHC · Wrigley Field
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
9
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.5×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB11.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.04 IP443.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp53.9°F Wind8.1 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier-2 Note54°F, wind 8 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: -2
28 61 · Braxton Ashcraft (RHP)
PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
🔵 C+
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%6.9% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.4×
PIT Bullpen
HR/FB8.1% HR/90.90 FIP3.96 IP298.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp59.7°F Wind13.8 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Note60°F, wind 14 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2
29 60 · Ryan Johnson (RHP)
LAA @ CHC · Wrigley Field
🔵 C+
?HH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
7
Form · —
SignalUNKNOWN Batted Balls0 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
10.0×
LAA Bullpen
HR/FB14.1% HR/91.47 FIP4.65 IP486.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp53.9°F Wind8.1 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier-2 Note54°F, wind 8 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: -2
30
·Cal Raleigh (S) 3
60 · Ryan Weathers (LHP)
NYY @ SEA · T-Mobile Park
🔵 C+
SHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls11 BBE Barrel%13.6% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
7.3×
NYY Bullpen
HR/FB12.2% HR/91.05 FIP3.80 IP433.0
Vulnerable Avg Tough
T-Mobile Park
Weather · T-Mobile Park
cold air · light wind in · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp34.2°F Wind3.4 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier-3 Note34°F, wind 3 mph SSE (in) — modifier: -3
🔥

The full lineup is in the hole

Sign up to see every ranked matchup with scores, tiers, pitcher intel, and conviction tools. Pro gets 150+ batters daily.

220 more waiting in the on-deck circle
Model Health · HR catch rate by tier
season-to-date
S 0.0%
A+ 17.2%
A 18.5%
B 20.0%
C+ 15.2%
C 12.3%
D 7.8%
Best Day
32.0%
May 29
LD 3.2.91

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.