⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs

Slate · 2026-03-31

↩ today 🧙 Morning Wizard 🎲 Build Card
216 scored matchups · top 5 preview · upgrade for full slate Lineups loading…
2026-03-31
Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather
📦 STACK Tanner Bibee FIP 4.34 HR/FB 13.0% → #2 Shohei Ohtani, #6 Teoscar Hernandez, #7 Max Muncy, #15 Freddie Freeman
📦 STACK Zach Eflin FIP 5.64 HR/FB 19.4% → #3 Corey Seager, #4 Wyatt Langford, #5 Jake Burger, #12 Adolis Garcia, #13 Kyle Higashioka, #14 Josh Jung
# Batter Score Edge Pitcher · Game Time Tier Hand '26 HR Form Due BP WT Hit?
1
Corey Seager (L) 2
81 · Zach Eflin (RHP)
TEX @ BAL · Camden Yards
🟢 A
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
7
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
BAL Bullpen
HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP4.32 IP320.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp63.4°F Wind5.8 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note63°F, wind 6 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
Corey Seager — Home Run
OffZach Eflin Exit Velo101.7 mph Angle28.0° Distance395 ft StadiumCamden Yards
2
·Shohei Ohtani (L) 4
77 · Tanner Bibee (RHP)
CLE @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
🟡 B
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
10
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV94.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.6×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB7.3% HR/90.72 FIP3.36 IP496.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp62.9°F Wind5.8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note63°F, wind 6 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
3
·Jake Burger (R) 3
75 · Zach Eflin (RHP)
TEX @ BAL · Camden Yards
🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
10
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%11.4% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.7×
BAL Bullpen
HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP4.32 IP320.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp63.4°F Wind5.8 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note63°F, wind 6 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
4
·Aaron Judge (R) 4
74 · Logan Gilbert (RHP)
NYY @ SEA · T-Mobile Park
🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
17
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls9 BBE Barrel%14.6% Avg EV95.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.0×
SEA Bullpen
HR/FB11.6% HR/91.00 FIP3.84 IP492.1
Vulnerable Avg Tough
T-Mobile Park
Weather · T-Mobile Park
cold air · steady wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp38.6°F Wind10.4 mph N Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note39°F, wind 10 mph N (out) — modifier: -1
5 73 · PJ Poulin (LHP)
WSH @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park
🟡 B
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
22
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls11 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
WSH Bullpen
HR/FB14.0% HR/91.48 FIP5.16 IP428.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Citizens Bank Park
Weather · Citizens Bank Park
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp63.7°F Wind10.4 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Note64°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +4
Kyle Schwarber — Home Run
OffPJ Poulin Exit Velo103.0 mph Angle33.0° Distance397 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park
6 72 · José Suarez (LHP)
ATH @ ATL · Truist Park
🟡 B
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
14
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.2×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB13.0% HR/91.36 FIP4.26 IP380.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp61.0°F Wind4.6 mph S Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note61°F, wind 5 mph S (out) — modifier: -1
Shea Langeliers — Home Run
OffJosé Suarez Exit Velo108.8 mph Angle26.0° Distance404 ft StadiumTruist Park
7
·Mike Trout (R) 5
70 · Jameson Taillon (RHP)
LAA @ CHC · Wrigley Field
🟡 B
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.6×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB11.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.04 IP443.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
mild air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp66.2°F Wind18.4 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Note66°F, wind 18 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1
8
·Will Smith (R) 2
68 · Tanner Bibee (RHP)
CLE @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
6
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB7.3% HR/90.72 FIP3.36 IP496.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp62.9°F Wind5.8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note63°F, wind 6 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
9 68 · Ryan Feltner (RHP)
COL @ TOR · Rogers Centre
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
5
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%8.1% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.8×
COL Bullpen
HR/FB13.8% HR/91.43 FIP4.94 IP472.7
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rogers Centre
Weather · Rogers Centre
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
10 67 · Max Scherzer (RHP)
COL @ TOR · Rogers Centre
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
15
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
TOR Bullpen
HR/FB11.6% HR/91.18 FIP4.15 IP491.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rogers Centre
Weather · Rogers Centre
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
Hunter Goodman — Home Run
OffMax Scherzer Exit Velo110.9 mph Angle29.0° Distance435 ft StadiumRogers Centre
11 67 · Jameson Taillon (RHP)
LAA @ CHC · Wrigley Field
🔵 C+
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
0
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB11.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.04 IP443.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
mild air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp66.2°F Wind18.4 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Note66°F, wind 18 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1
12 67 · Aaron Civale (RHP)
ATH @ ATL · Truist Park
🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.5×
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB9.9% HR/91.10 FIP4.54 IP365.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp61.0°F Wind4.6 mph S Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note61°F, wind 5 mph S (out) — modifier: -1
Drake Baldwin — Home Run
OffAaron Civale Exit Velo105.4 mph Angle26.0° Distance410 ft StadiumTruist Park
13 67 · Max Scherzer (RHP)
COL @ TOR · Rogers Centre
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
4
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.1×
TOR Bullpen
HR/FB11.6% HR/91.18 FIP4.15 IP491.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rogers Centre
Weather · Rogers Centre
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
14
Max Muncy (S) 7
65 · Tanner Bibee (RHP)
CLE @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
🔵 C+
SHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
2
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB7.3% HR/90.72 FIP3.36 IP496.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp62.9°F Wind5.8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note63°F, wind 6 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
Max Muncy — Home Run
OffJosé Suarez Exit Velo108.1 mph Angle34.0° Distance410 ft StadiumTruist Park
15 65 · Shane McClanahan (LHP)
TB @ MIL · American Family Field
🔵 C+
RHH vs LHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
4
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%7.5% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.6×
TB Bullpen
HR/FB13.8% HR/91.23 FIP3.83 IP458.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
American Family Field
Weather · American Family Field
cool air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp57.4°F Wind1.0 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note57°F, wind 1 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
16
·Mickey Moniak (L) 3
65 · Max Scherzer (RHP)
COL @ TOR · Rogers Centre
🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
COLD
Form · COLD
SignalCOLD Batted Balls7 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
3.2×
TOR Bullpen
HR/FB11.6% HR/91.18 FIP4.15 IP491.5
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Rogers Centre
Weather · Rogers Centre
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
17
·Yandy Diaz (R)
65 · Brandon Woodruff (RHP)
TB @ MIL · American Family Field
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
0
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%7.6% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
MIL Bullpen
HR/FB8.9% HR/90.78 FIP3.48 IP481.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
American Family Field
Weather · American Family Field
cool air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp57.4°F Wind1.0 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note57°F, wind 1 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
18
·Nick Kurtz (L) 3
65 · José Suarez (LHP)
ATH @ ATL · Truist Park
🔵 C+
LHH vs LHP
Same-side disadvantage — L-on-L is the toughest matchup for batters
11
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls10 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
ATL Bullpen
HR/FB13.0% HR/91.36 FIP4.26 IP380.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp61.0°F Wind4.6 mph S Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note61°F, wind 5 mph S (out) — modifier: -1
19
·Kyle Stowers (L) 2
64 · Erick Fedde (RHP)
CWS @ MIA · loanDepot Park
🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
4
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls5 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
CWS Bullpen
HR/FB10.3% HR/91.09 FIP4.33 IP519.3
Vulnerable Avg Tough
loanDepot Park
Weather · loanDepot Park
neutral
Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 NoteDome — weather irrelevant
20
·Zach Neto (R) 4
64 · Jameson Taillon (RHP)
LAA @ CHC · Wrigley Field
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
10
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.2×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB11.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.04 IP443.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
mild air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp66.2°F Wind18.4 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Note66°F, wind 18 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1
21 64 · Bubba Chandler
PIT @ CIN · Great American Ball Park
🔵 C+
SHH vs ?HP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
12
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls18 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.4×
PIT Bullpen
HR/FB8.1% HR/90.90 FIP3.96 IP298.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Great American Ball Park
Weather · Great American Ball Park
mild air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp65.8°F Wind19.6 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Note66°F, wind 20 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +3
Elly De La Cruz — Home Run
OffBubba Chandler Exit Velo93.6 mph Angle41.0° Distance334 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park
22 62 · Brandon Woodruff (RHP)
TB @ MIL · American Family Field
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
14
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.3×
MIL Bullpen
HR/FB8.9% HR/90.78 FIP3.48 IP481.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
American Family Field
Weather · American Family Field
cool air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp57.4°F Wind1.0 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note57°F, wind 1 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
23 62 · Aaron Civale (RHP)
ATH @ ATL · Truist Park
🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
13
HOT
Form · HOT
SignalHOT Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
1.0×
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB9.9% HR/91.10 FIP4.54 IP365.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp61.0°F Wind4.6 mph S Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note61°F, wind 5 mph S (out) — modifier: -1
24
·Brandon Lowe (L) 3
61 · Brandon Woodruff (RHP)
TB @ MIL · American Family Field
🔵 C+
LHH vs RHP
Platoon advantage — batter sees the ball better from the opposite side
15
COOL
Form · COOL
SignalCOOL Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
MIL Bullpen
HR/FB8.9% HR/90.78 FIP3.48 IP481.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
American Family Field
Weather · American Family Field
cool air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Roofretractable Temp57.4°F Wind1.0 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Note57°F, wind 1 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: -1
25
·Jorge Soler (R) 3
61 · Jameson Taillon (RHP)
LAA @ CHC · Wrigley Field
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
9
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
2.5×
CHC Bullpen
HR/FB11.5% HR/91.13 FIP4.04 IP443.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Wrigley Field
Weather · Wrigley Field
mild air · strong crosswind · roof open
Roofopen Temp66.2°F Wind18.4 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Note66°F, wind 18 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1
26
·Mookie Betts (R) 2
61 · Tanner Bibee (RHP)
CLE @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
6
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%6.6% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise BarrelYes
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB7.3% HR/90.72 FIP3.36 IP496.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp62.9°F Wind5.8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note63°F, wind 6 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
27 60 · Zach Eflin (RHP)
TEX @ BAL · Camden Yards
🔵 C+
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
1
NTRL
Form · NTRL
SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
BAL Bullpen
HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP4.32 IP320.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp63.4°F Wind5.8 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note63°F, wind 6 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
28 59 · Tanner Bibee (RHP)
CLE @ LAD · Dodger Stadium
🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
0
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
0.0×
CLE Bullpen
HR/FB7.3% HR/90.72 FIP3.36 IP496.6
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Dodger Stadium
Weather · Dodger Stadium
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp62.9°F Wind5.8 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note63°F, wind 6 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
29 59 · Zach Eflin (RHP)
TEX @ BAL · Camden Yards
🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
0
WARM
Form · WARM
SignalWARM Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
BAL Bullpen
HR/FB12.9% HR/91.14 FIP4.32 IP320.4
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Camden Yards
Weather · Camden Yards
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp63.4°F Wind5.8 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Note63°F, wind 6 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
Adolis Garcia — Home Run
OffZach Eflin Exit Velo97.7 mph Angle28.0° Distance349 ft StadiumCamden Yards
30 59 · Aaron Civale (RHP)
ATH @ ATL · Truist Park
🟠 C
RHH vs RHP
Same-side neutral — R-on-R is common, less punishing than L-on-L
0
COLD
Form · COLD
SignalCOLD Batted Balls9 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel
Based on rolling 14-day Statcast window vs season avg.
HOT = barrel% ≥ 1.5× season · COLD = barrel% ≤ 0.6× season
·
ATH Bullpen
HR/FB9.9% HR/91.10 FIP4.54 IP365.2
Vulnerable Avg Tough
Truist Park
Weather · Truist Park
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Roofopen Temp61.0°F Wind4.6 mph S Characterout HR Modifier-1 Note61°F, wind 5 mph S (out) — modifier: -1
🔥

The full lineup is in the hole

Sign up to see every ranked matchup with scores, tiers, pitcher intel, and conviction tools. Pro gets 150+ batters daily.

211 more waiting in the on-deck circle
Model Health · HR catch rate by tier
season-to-date
S 0.0%
A+ 17.2%
A 18.5%
B 20.0%
C+ 15.2%
C 12.3%
D 7.8%
Best Day
32.0%
May 29
LD 3.2.88

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.