PIT
@
—
CIN
Park Factor
1.18×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
mild air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.534
Temp
65.8°F
Wind
19.6 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 21 | 0.176 | 91.0 | 9.7% | 15.7% | 405 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 12.5% | 18 |
| 2 |
|
Austin Hays | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 34 | 0.187 | 88.8 | 9.8% | 14.7% | 396 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 12.1% | 17 |
| 3 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 51 | 0.191 | 90.5 | 11.6% | 18.3% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.5% | 12 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Steer ⚡ | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 54 | 0.173 | 87.3 | 8.4% | 12.1% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 20 |
| 5 |
|
Noelvi Marte | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 58 | 0.186 | 88.5 | 9.2% | 15.4% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Matt McLain | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 79 | 0.124 | 88.8 | 8.5% | 9.9% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
TJ Friedl | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 154 | 0.117 | 87.1 | 5.0% | 8.2% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 16 |
| 8 |
|
Gavin Lux | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 185 | 0.105 | 88.3 | 5.8% | 5.3% | 370 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 6 |
| 9 |
|
Santiago Espinal | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 197 | 0.040 | 86.5 | 2.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 15 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Andrew McCutchen | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 33 | 0.128 | 89.5 | 8.6% | 9.6% | 393 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 13.9% | 12 |
| 2 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 35 | 0.178 | 95.8 | 12.7% | 17.7% | 410 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 12 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 92 | 0.162 | 87.4 | 8.6% | 9.2% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.6% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Henry Davis | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 93 | 0.111 | 88.6 | 10.2% | 7.7% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 13 |
| 5 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 96 | 0.157 | 91.2 | 9.5% | 13.4% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.4% | 16 |
| 6 |
|
Tommy Pham | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 119 | 0.125 | 91.6 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 418 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.2% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Joey Bart | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 136 | 0.091 | 88.4 | 9.7% | 7.1% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 6 |
| 8 |
|
Jared Triolo | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 166 | 0.130 | 89.0 | 7.5% | 6.6% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 19 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 179 | 0.102 | 88.8 | 6.4% | 5.0% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 19 |