⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
TB
@
MIL
American Family Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.13×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
1.017
Temp
57.4°F
Wind
1.0 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 William Contreras William Contreras 65 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 15 0.140 91.1 7.5% 12.4% 387 25.0% 25.0% 17.5% 18
2 Rhys Hoskins Rhys Hoskins 58 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 37 0.179 90.2 9.6% 13.0% 394 0.0% 0.0% 17.9% 16
3 Brice Turang Brice Turang 57 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 40 0.147 91.1 8.4% 13.3% 408 0.0% 0.0% 18.1% 15
4 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 57 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 43 0.117 85.5 5.2% 7.8% 390 25.0% 25.0% 13.9% 20
5 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 60 0.193 89.3 9.3% 12.4% 397 0.0% 0.0% 17.5% 9
6 Isaac Collins Isaac Collins 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 82 0.148 88.8 6.6% 9.4% 374 33.3% 33.3% 15.3% 11
7 Christian Yelich Christian Yelich 48 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 89 0.188 90.2 9.6% 29.6% 395 0.0% 0.0% 27.1% 20
8 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 132 0.130 85.2 6.0% 7.3% 390 0.0% 0.0% 13.5% 24
9 Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 150 0.087 84.9 5.2% 4.7% 387 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 17
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz 65 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 17 0.182 93.0 7.6% 18.2% 379 100.0% 100.0% 16.3% 28
2 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 62 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 22 0.271 92.4 9.9% 24.5% 392 0.0% 0.0% 18.9% 15
3 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 61 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 24 0.221 91.1 9.5% 22.0% 400 33.3% 33.3% 17.9% 16
4 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 70 0.173 93.0 9.5% 14.7% 398 0.0% 0.0% 14.6% 20
5 Christopher Morel Christopher Morel 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 84 0.176 91.8 10.2% 14.5% 404 0.0% 0.0% 14.5% 6
6 Josh Lowe Josh Lowe 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 103 0.146 88.6 6.4% 12.9% 392 0.0% 0.0% 13.7% 16
7 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 195 0.099 87.0 4.7% 4.8% 388 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 4
8 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 21 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 210 0.072 87.3 4.3% 4.1% 405 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 15
9 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 213 0.051 84.3 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 22
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