ATH
@
—
ATL
Park Factor
1.04×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.936
Temp
61.0°F
Wind
4.6 mph
out
Roof
open
José Suarez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shea Langeliers | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🔥 HOT | 6 | 0.260 | 90.9 | 9.0% | 18.6% | 399 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 10.9% | 13 |
| 2 |
|
Nick Kurtz | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 18 | 0.329 | 92.7 | 11.6% | 30.8% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.0% | 10 |
| 3 |
|
Max Muncy | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 45 | 0.227 | 91.3 | 10.0% | 16.8% | 400 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Brent Rooker | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 49 | 0.217 | 90.7 | 10.0% | 15.2% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Tyler Soderstrom | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 121 | 0.198 | 91.6 | 9.1% | 18.9% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.0% | 12 |
| 6 |
|
JJ Bleday | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 130 | 0.192 | 88.7 | 7.5% | 13.7% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 6 |
| 7 |
|
Lawrence Butler ⚡ | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 138 | 0.170 | 90.5 | 8.2% | 16.3% | 414 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 8 |
| 8 |
|
Jacob Wilson | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 181 | 0.134 | 84.6 | 4.0% | 10.5% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
Luis Urias | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 208 | 0.108 | 86.2 | 5.2% | 8.3% | 381 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 14 |
Aaron Civale
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 12 | 0.195 | 91.7 | 10.4% | 18.1% | 398 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 14.9% | 19 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 23 | 0.160 | 90.2 | 9.4% | 12.5% | 411 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 12.4% | 21 | |
| 3 |
|
Ronald Acuna Jr. | 59 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 30 | 0.228 | 92.7 | 12.4% | 23.1% | 419 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.8% | 9 |
| 4 |
|
Matt Olson | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 32 | 0.212 | 93.3 | 11.8% | 16.0% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.0% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Austin Riley | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 94 | 0.168 | 92.3 | 12.2% | 12.4% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Jurickson Profar | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 98 | 0.189 | 89.0 | 8.5% | 11.3% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 109 | 0.168 | 89.9 | 10.6% | 15.0% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.5% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 123 | 0.124 | 87.5 | 6.9% | 7.2% | 380 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 9.4% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Allen | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 215 | 0.030 | 84.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.5% | 8 |