⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
LAA
@
CHC
Wrigley Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.824
Temp
53.9°F
Wind
8.1 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Mike Trout Mike Trout 68 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 9 0.206 90.9 11.7% 21.3% 408 66.7% 66.7% 17.5% 15
2 Zach Neto Zach Neto 64 🔵 C+ · · 18 0.217 91.0 11.0% 17.8% 404 33.3% 33.3% 16.0% 16
3 Jorge Soler Jorge Soler 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 27 0.172 89.7 10.5% 15.6% 400 33.3% 33.3% 15.0% 14
4 Jo Adell Jo Adell 55 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 48 0.249 91.7 12.2% 22.0% 411 0.0% 0.0% 17.8% 18
5 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 55 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 49 0.247 90.1 10.8% 18.2% 396 0.0% 0.0% 16.2% 9
6 Yoan Moncada Yoan Moncada 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 50 0.214 89.8 11.1% 16.4% 393 0.0% 0.0% 15.4% 13
7 Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 87 0.125 87.5 6.2% 8.2% 394 66.7% 66.7% 10.9% 16
8 Luis Rengifo Luis Rengifo 42 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 143 0.098 87.1 6.6% 8.8% 392 0.0% 0.0% 11.3% 19
9 Logan O'Hoppe Logan O'Hoppe 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 158 0.158 90.9 10.7% 16.4% 402 0.0% 0.0% 15.4% 15
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 65 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 16 0.178 90.0 9.0% 13.3% 393 66.7% 66.7% 17.2% 15
2 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 60 🔵 C+ · · 29 0.233 91.3 11.4% 16.5% 398 0.0% 0.0% 19.2% 0
3 Michael Busch Michael Busch 58 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 37 0.261 92.2 11.6% 20.9% 397 0.0% 0.0% 21.6% 21
4 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 58 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 38 0.179 88.8 8.6% 13.6% 386 0.0% 0.0% 17.4% 13
5 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 52 🟠 C · · 71 0.198 90.1 9.2% 11.8% 393 0.0% 0.0% 16.2% 19
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 51 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 76 0.234 89.5 10.1% 14.2% 395 0.0% 0.0% 17.8% 11
7 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 92 0.168 84.9 7.3% 10.8% 387 0.0% 0.0% 15.6% 19
8 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 98 0.173 90.5 9.6% 15.5% 403 0.0% 0.0% 18.6% 16
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 161 0.097 86.7 4.2% 3.7% 379 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 19
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