⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
TB
@
MIL
American Family Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.13×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.904
Temp
47.2°F
Wind
3.4 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 17 0.221 91.1 9.4% 22.0% 400 50.0% 50.0% 17.0% 16
2 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 21 0.271 92.4 9.8% 24.5% 392 0.0% 0.0% 17.9% 15
3 Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz 53 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 65 0.182 93.0 7.5% 18.2% 379 0.0% 0.0% 15.5% 28
4 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 73 0.173 93.0 9.3% 14.7% 398 0.0% 0.0% 13.9% 20
5 Christopher Morel Christopher Morel 50 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 82 0.176 91.8 10.0% 14.5% 404 0.0% 0.0% 13.8% 6
6 Josh Lowe Josh Lowe 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 104 0.146 88.6 6.3% 12.9% 392 0.0% 0.0% 13.0% 16
7 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 196 0.099 87.0 4.7% 4.8% 388 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 4
8 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 22 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 219 0.072 87.3 4.2% 4.1% 405 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 15
9 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 223 0.051 84.3 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 22
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 57 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 45 0.117 85.5 4.6% 7.8% 390 33.3% 33.3% 10.3% 20
2 Rhys Hoskins Rhys Hoskins 55 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 53 0.179 90.2 8.4% 13.0% 394 0.0% 0.0% 13.3% 16
3 Brice Turang Brice Turang 54 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 59 0.147 91.1 7.4% 13.3% 408 0.0% 0.0% 13.4% 15
4 William Contreras William Contreras 53 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 66 0.140 91.1 6.7% 12.4% 387 0.0% 0.0% 13.0% 18
5 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 83 0.193 89.3 8.2% 12.4% 397 0.0% 0.0% 13.0% 9
6 Christian Yelich Christian Yelich 45 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 113 0.188 90.2 8.4% 29.6% 395 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 20
7 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 150 0.130 85.2 5.2% 7.3% 390 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 24
8 Joey Ortiz Joey Ortiz 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 162 0.087 84.9 4.5% 4.7% 387 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 17
9 Isaac Collins Isaac Collins 38 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 165 0.148 88.8 5.8% 9.4% 374 0.0% 0.0% 11.3% 11
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