⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
TEX
@
BAL
Camden Yards · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.664
Temp
55.4°F
Wind
11.5 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corey Seager Corey Seager 77 🟡 B · 🔥 HOT 2 0.216 92.9 11.4% 20.0% 400 33.3% 33.3% 20.8% 15
2 Jake Burger Jake Burger 69 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 8 0.183 90.4 10.9% 13.6% 406 66.7% 66.7% 17.2% 17
3 Wyatt Langford Wyatt Langford 55 🟠 C · · 47 0.190 91.4 10.9% 15.1% 393 0.0% 0.0% 18.1% 19
4 Adolis Garcia Adolis Garcia 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 57 0.168 92.1 9.9% 10.9% 403 0.0% 0.0% 15.3% 17
5 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 52 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 75 0.134 88.3 7.5% 8.5% 391 0.0% 0.0% 13.6% 19
6 Kyle Higashioka Kyle Higashioka 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 81 0.162 88.9 8.6% 10.9% 386 0.0% 0.0% 15.3% 10
7 Josh Jung Josh Jung 45 ⚪ D · · 114 0.139 89.3 8.3% 10.8% 387 0.0% 0.0% 15.3% 18
8 Josh Smith Josh Smith 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 177 0.115 87.2 6.5% 7.1% 389 0.0% 0.0% 12.4% 16
9 Jonah Heim Jonah Heim 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 188 0.119 88.1 7.2% 9.0% 381 0.0% 0.0% 14.0% 10
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Tyler O'Neill Tyler O'Neill 66 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 14 0.193 88.8 13.4% 13.0% 406 33.3% 33.3% 14.2% 11
2 Jordan Westburg Jordan Westburg 61 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 26 0.192 90.2 11.0% 16.0% 397 0.0% 0.0% 15.8% 15
3 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 57 🟠 C · · 39 0.190 90.9 12.3% 20.5% 405 0.0% 0.0% 17.9% 10
4 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 58 0.171 87.3 10.4% 12.1% 405 0.0% 0.0% 13.7% 10
5 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 102 0.165 92.1 9.6% 12.3% 393 0.0% 0.0% 13.8% 13
6 Adley Rutschman Adley Rutschman 46 ⚪ D · · 109 0.146 89.4 9.0% 8.5% 395 0.0% 0.0% 11.5% 18
7 Jackson Holliday Jackson Holliday 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 115 0.133 88.8 9.2% 11.2% 393 0.0% 0.0% 13.2% 9
8 Ryan Mountcastle Ryan Mountcastle 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 126 0.117 90.7 11.2% 8.9% 404 0.0% 0.0% 11.8% 10
9 Dylan Carlson Dylan Carlson 44 ⚪ D · · 127 0.134 88.4 8.5% 8.6% 376 0.0% 0.0% 11.6% 12
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