⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
SF
@
SD
Petco Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.810
Temp
60.5°F
Wind
5.8 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willy Adames Willy Adames 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 74 0.196 88.9 10.9% 15.1% 401 0.0% 0.0% 13.9% 13
2 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 86 0.132 87.7 6.3% 8.3% 396 50.0% 50.0% 10.3% 16
3 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 48 ⚪ D · · 93 0.198 92.2 9.7% 14.8% 399 0.0% 0.0% 13.8% 18
4 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 44 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 132 0.141 87.1 5.9% 4.9% 381 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 18
5 Wilmer Flores Wilmer Flores 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 138 0.138 85.9 6.8% 10.7% 378 0.0% 0.0% 11.7% 17
6 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 152 0.163 89.5 9.2% 12.1% 394 0.0% 0.0% 12.4% 16
7 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 183 0.144 91.8 9.1% 11.9% 403 0.0% 0.0% 12.3% 14
8 Tyler Fitzgerald Tyler Fitzgerald 32 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 195 0.111 84.5 6.5% 6.3% 380 0.0% 0.0% 9.0% 4
9 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 206 0.103 88.2 7.3% 4.9% 379 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 17
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 147 0.177 89.9 9.2% 11.9% 402 0.0% 0.0% 10.0% 22
2 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 42 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 148 0.128 89.0 7.8% 7.8% 389 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 22
3 Manny Machado Manny Machado 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 153 0.185 92.9 10.7% 13.1% 396 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 13
4 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 154 0.193 89.7 10.8% 11.9% 391 0.0% 0.0% 10.0% 21
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 184 0.178 93.3 9.8% 15.8% 409 0.0% 0.0% 11.5% 10
6 Elias Diaz Elias Diaz 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 193 0.133 88.4 8.2% 10.1% 386 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 1
7 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 208 0.131 88.5 7.4% 9.1% 396 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 19
8 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 216 0.100 86.1 3.1% 4.4% 370 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 16
9 Jose Iglesias Jose Iglesias 19 ⚪ D · · 222 0.065 84.0 4.2% 4.9% 391 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 0
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