PIT
@
—
CIN
Park Factor
1.18×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.416
Temp
59.7°F
Wind
13.8 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Braxton Ashcraft
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 28 | 0.176 | 91.0 | 6.9% | 15.7% | 405 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 10.4% | 18 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Steer ⚡ | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 80 | 0.173 | 87.3 | 5.9% | 12.1% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 20 |
| 3 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 85 | 0.191 | 90.5 | 8.1% | 18.3% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 12 |
| 4 |
|
Noelvi Marte | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 111 | 0.186 | 88.5 | 6.4% | 15.4% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Matt McLain | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 112 | 0.124 | 88.8 | 5.9% | 9.9% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Austin Hays | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 149 | 0.187 | 88.8 | 6.9% | 14.7% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
TJ Friedl | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 171 | 0.117 | 87.1 | 3.5% | 8.2% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 16 |
| 8 |
|
Gavin Lux | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 204 | 0.105 | 88.3 | 4.1% | 5.3% | 370 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 6 |
| 9 |
|
Santiago Espinal | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 207 | 0.040 | 86.5 | 1.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 15 |
Chase Burns
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Andrew McCutchen | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 42 | 0.128 | 89.5 | 8.9% | 9.6% | 393 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 12.4% | 12 |
| 2 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 56 | 0.178 | 95.8 | 13.0% | 17.7% | 410 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.9% | 12 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 124 | 0.162 | 87.4 | 8.8% | 9.2% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Henry Davis | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 128 | 0.111 | 88.6 | 10.4% | 7.7% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 13 |
| 5 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 134 | 0.157 | 91.2 | 9.8% | 13.4% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.7% | 16 |
| 6 |
|
Tommy Pham | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 151 | 0.125 | 91.6 | 7.9% | 10.0% | 418 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.7% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Joey Bart | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 168 | 0.091 | 88.4 | 9.9% | 7.1% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 6 |
| 8 |
|
Jared Triolo | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 192 | 0.130 | 89.0 | 7.7% | 6.6% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 19 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 198 | 0.102 | 88.8 | 6.5% | 5.0% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 19 |