NYY
@
—
SEA
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.637
Temp
34.2°F
Wind
3.4 mph
in
Roof
retractable
Luis Castillo
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Aaron Judge | 77 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 3 | 0.357 | 95.4 | 16.0% | 29.4% | 408 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 16.0% | 9 |
| 2 |
|
Ben Rice | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 67 | 0.244 | 93.3 | 12.7% | 17.1% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 17 |
| 3 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 94 | 0.238 | 89.0 | 12.5% | 20.7% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 17 | |
| 4 |
|
Trent Grisham | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 103 | 0.229 | 91.1 | 12.2% | 21.5% | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.7% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Austin Wells | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 110 | 0.217 | 90.6 | 10.3% | 14.0% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.0% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Jasson Dominguez | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 130 | 0.131 | 90.6 | 8.5% | 9.7% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 13 |
| 7 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 146 | 0.207 | 88.3 | 8.8% | 11.9% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Anthony Volpe | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 160 | 0.180 | 89.3 | 10.4% | 11.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Paul Goldschmidt | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 190 | 0.129 | 90.4 | 9.1% | 6.5% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 13 |
Ryan Weathers
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 30 | 0.342 | 91.3 | 13.6% | 25.3% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.1% | 11 |
| 2 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 34 | 0.181 | 92.3 | 11.7% | 17.7% | 412 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 15.1% | 19 |
| 3 |
|
Cole Young | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 89 | 0.094 | 87.6 | 7.3% | 5.2% | 402 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 8.2% | 19 |
| 4 |
|
Jorge Polanco | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 107 | 0.229 | 90.8 | 9.9% | 14.9% | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.9% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Julio Rodriguez | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 120 | 0.207 | 91.8 | 9.7% | 18.5% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.5% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Randy Arozarena ⚡ | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 135 | 0.188 | 91.3 | 10.4% | 15.6% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.2% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Mitch Garver | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 173 | 0.134 | 91.5 | 8.7% | 10.8% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 7 |
| 8 | J.P. Crawford | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 201 | 0.105 | 87.2 | 6.8% | 8.5% | 381 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 0 | |
| 9 |
|
Ben Williamson | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 221 | 0.058 | 88.3 | 5.6% | 1.8% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 18 |