NYM
@
—
STL
Park Factor
0.93×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.837
Temp
61.5°F
Wind
5.8 mph
cross
Roof
open
Kyle Leahy
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso ⚡ | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 46 | 0.252 | 93.5 | 13.6% | 19.3% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 63 | 0.174 | 91.9 | 9.3% | 15.0% | 388 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 8.8% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Juan Soto | 48 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 97 | 0.262 | 93.8 | 13.3% | 25.1% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 15 |
| 4 |
|
Brett Baty | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 118 | 0.181 | 90.7 | 11.2% | 22.5% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Mark Vientos | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 131 | 0.179 | 91.4 | 10.6% | 14.9% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 12 |
| 6 |
|
Francisco Lindor | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 170 | 0.199 | 90.5 | 9.3% | 15.0% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Starling Marte | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 182 | 0.140 | 87.6 | 8.7% | 12.7% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 13 |
| 8 |
|
Jeff McNeil | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 211 | 0.168 | 87.2 | 7.1% | 8.5% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 17 |
| 9 |
|
Tyrone Taylor | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 218 | 0.097 | 86.5 | 6.1% | 2.0% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.2% | 9 |
Clay Holmes
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Alec Burleson | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.169 | 91.0 | 8.0% | 10.2% | 408 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 9.6% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Brendan Donovan | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 69 | 0.135 | 89.7 | 7.7% | 6.9% | 387 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 7.9% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 121 | 0.180 | 91.2 | 8.6% | 19.4% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.3% | 14 |
| 4 |
|
Willson Contreras ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 164 | 0.190 | 90.6 | 9.7% | 15.2% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 185 | 0.165 | 89.6 | 7.9% | 12.7% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 12 |
| 6 |
|
Lars Nootbaar | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 187 | 0.128 | 91.3 | 8.3% | 7.3% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Nolan Arenado | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 210 | 0.140 | 86.8 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Masyn Winn | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 215 | 0.110 | 88.3 | 5.7% | 5.7% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 15 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 17 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 224 | 0.080 | 86.1 | 5.0% | 4.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 18 |