Today · 2026-09-17

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Junior Caminero vs Jeffrey Springs FIP 6.09 HR/FB 23.0% #3 Max Muncy vs Brady Singer FIP 5.47 HR/FB 23.7% #10 Pro pick vs Erick Fedde FIP 5.2 HR/FB 24.2%

📦 STACK Justin Wrobleski FIP 4.35 HR/FB 13.6% → #2 Elly De La Cruz, #9 Pro pick

📦 STACK HOU Bullpen Proxy FIP 4.67 HR/FB 13.8% → #7 Pro pick, #12 Pro pick

📦 STACK Framber Valdez FIP 4.22 HR/FB 15.0% → #8 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick

📦 STACK Erick Fedde FIP 5.2 HR/FB 24.2% → #10 Pro pick, #14 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-09-16. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

93% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Junior Caminero (R)	73	·	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) ATH @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	41	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-09-15 OffElvis Alvarado Exit Velo97.3 mph Angle29.0° Distance345 ft StadiumTropicana Field	●○○●○	0.3×	1	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.49 FIP4.91 IP1373.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 41 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
2	Elly De La Cruz (S)	71	·	●	Justin Wrobleski (LHP) LAD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🟡 B	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	28	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV94.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-09-16 OffSeth Halvorsen Exit Velo106.4 mph Angle24.0° Distance391 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○○●○●	0.0×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.19 FIP3.99 IP1304.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+43 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph W Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+43 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph W (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Max Muncy (L)	70	·	●	Brady Singer (RHP) LAD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	9	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls48 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-09-12 OffTyler Phillips Exit Velo105.6 mph Angle34.0° Distance393 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	●○○○○	1.0×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.36 FIP4.85 IP1312.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+39 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph W Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph W (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Kyle Schwarber (L)	67	·	●	Nolan McLean (RHP) PHI @ NYM · Citi Field	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	45	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-09-15 OffJackson Kent Exit Velo98.3 mph Angle33.0° Distance366 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○●○	0.3×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.18 FIP4.18 IP1519.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Citi Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 44 HR Note78°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Hunter Goodman (R)	67	·	●	Michael King (RHP) SD @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	38	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-09-12 OffAndrew Sears Exit Velo93.9 mph Angle33.0° Distance362 ft StadiumComerica Park	○○●○○	0.7×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.09 FIP4.14 IP1270.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-14 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind4 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-14 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 37 HR Note78°F, wind 4 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L)	68	·	●	HOU Bullpen Proxy KC @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.34 FIP4.67 IP1339.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-6 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp83°F Wind4 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L)	64	·	●	Seth Lugo (RHP) KC @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.26 FIP4.68 IP1338.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-6 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp83°F Wind4 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L)	64	·	●	Framber Valdez (LHP) DET @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.05 IP1414.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR NoteUnknown stadium
9	Pro pick (R)	62	·	●	Erick Fedde (RHP) DET @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.8% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.08 FIP4.19 IP1318.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR NoteUnknown stadium
10	Pro pick (L)	62	·	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) PHI @ NYM · Citi Field	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.20 FIP3.80 IP1315.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+36 Weather · Citi Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+36 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note78°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L)	61	·	●	Sonny Gray (RHP) BOS @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/90.96 FIP3.67 IP1336.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-5 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note93°F, wind 5 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L)	64	·	●	HOU Bullpen Proxy KC @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls10 BBE Barrel%13.7% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.34 FIP4.67 IP1339.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-6 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp83°F Wind4 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L)	60	·	●	Erick Fedde (RHP) DET @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.08 FIP4.19 IP1318.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR NoteUnknown stadium
14	Pro pick (L)	58	·	●	Framber Valdez (LHP) DET @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.05 IP1414.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR NoteUnknown stadium
15	Pro pick (L)	58	·	●	Sonny Gray (RHP) BOS @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/90.96 FIP3.67 IP1336.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-1 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind-1 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note93°F, wind 5 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R)	58	·	●	Tanner Gordon (RHP) SD @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.42 FIP4.92 IP1370.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-12 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind4 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-12 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note78°F, wind 4 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (R)	58	·	●	Framber Valdez (LHP) DET @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.05 IP1414.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR NoteUnknown stadium
18	Pro pick (R)	57	·	●	Framber Valdez (LHP) DET @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.06 FIP4.05 IP1414.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR NoteUnknown stadium
19	Pro pick (S)	57	·	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) PHI @ NYM · Citi Field	7:15p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.20 FIP3.80 IP1315.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+33 Weather · Citi Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind7 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note78°F, wind 7 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (R)	57	·	●	Seth Lugo (RHP) KC @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	7:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV89.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.26 FIP4.68 IP1338.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-3 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp83°F Wind4 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph NE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L)	57	·	●	Michael King (RHP) SD @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls16 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.8% HR/91.09 FIP4.14 IP1270.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-3 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind4 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note78°F, wind 4 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R)	57	·	●	Erick Fedde (RHP) DET @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV88.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.08 FIP4.19 IP1318.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR NoteUnknown stadium
23	Pro pick (R)	57	·	●	Justin Wrobleski (LHP) LAD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.19 FIP3.99 IP1304.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+41 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph W Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph W (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R)	56	·	●	Brady Singer (RHP) LAD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.2% HR/91.36 FIP4.85 IP1312.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+48 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph W Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+48 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph W (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L)	56	·	●	Jeffrey Springs (LHP) ATH @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.0% HR/91.49 FIP4.91 IP1373.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
26	Pro pick (L)	56	·	●	Tanner Gordon (RHP) SD @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.42 FIP4.92 IP1370.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-8 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp78°F Wind4 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note78°F, wind 4 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L)	55	·	●	Kyle Harrison (LHP) MIL @ PIT · PNC Park	12:35p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV94.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.07 FIP3.68 IP1254.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+37 Weather · PNC Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind7 mph W Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note79°F, wind 7 mph W (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R)	55	·	●	Tyler Alexander (LHP) BOS @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls7 BBE Barrel%7.9% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.22 FIP4.15 IP1286.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp93°F Wind5 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note93°F, wind 5 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R)	54	·	●	Justin Wrobleski (LHP) LAD @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV88.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.19 FIP3.99 IP1304.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+45 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind7 mph W Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+45 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note86°F, wind 7 mph W (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R)	54	·	●	Drew Rasmussen (RHP) ATH @ TB · Tropicana Field	1:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls10 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.20 FIP4.04 IP1299.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.6%

▼ -3.1 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 19.1% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-09-16

21 HRs

28%

6 caught / 21 HRs

in top 50

#2 Pete Crow-Armstrong

35.5%

🟡

#7 Pete Alonso

34.3%

🔵

#18 Elly De La Cruz

25.3%

🟠

#19 Willson Contreras

22.1%

🟠

#39 John Rave

25.1%

🟠

#49 Alex Bregman

14.5%

🟠

Missed

Oneil Cruz Samuel Basallo Nolan Arenado Brandon Lowe Rafael Flores Jr. +10 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Pete Alonso ×3 Kazuma Okamoto ×3 Elly De La Cruz ×2 Eugenio Suárez ×2 Ben Rice ×2

❄️ Cold

Drake Baldwin 0 of 5d Corey Seager 0 of 5d Colson Montgomery 0 of 5d Munetaka Murakami 0 of 5d Riley Greene 0 of 5d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.2%

B 20.1%

C+ 17.2%

C 13.8%

D 9.1%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-09-17

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.