Morning Wizard

2026-09-17 · 141 matchups scored

1 of 9 steps done

Step 1 of 9 15 candidates · 0 locked from this step

Park + Weather

Today's most HR-friendly environments — parks and weather conditions that favor the long ball.

LAD

CIN

LAD @ CIN Wind out 1.498

Great American Ball Park Park × 1.07 hot air · light wind out · roof open

1.07× 86°F 7 mph open

#2 Elly De La Cruz 2nd signal park · top · ·

BOS

TEX

BOS @ TEX Wind out 1.348

Globe Life Field Park × 1.04 hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof

1.04× 93°F 5 mph retractable

· #15 Corey Seager ·

PHI

NYM

PHI @ NYM Wind out 1.274

Citi Field Park × 0.98 warm air · light wind out · roof open

0.98× 78°F 7 mph open

· · #19 Francisco Lindor 3rd signal park · pitcher

HOU

KC @ HOU Crosswind 1.235

Minute Maid Park Park × 1.12 hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof

1.12× 83°F 4 mph retractable

#6 Carter Jensen 2nd signal park · top · ·

MIL

PIT

MIL @ PIT Wind out 1.184

PNC Park Park × 0.91 warm air · light wind out · roof open

0.91× 79°F 7 mph open

· #36 Brandon Lowe ·

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Step 2 of 9 3 candidates · 0 locked from this step

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Susceptible Pitchers

Pitchers on today's slate with the highest HR-susceptibility scores — they give up dingers at elevated rates.

Jeffrey Springs ⚠️ High

33 HRs · 0.249 HR/IP · 19.3% HR/FB · 6.09 ERA

FIP 6.09 · xFIP 4.87 · Gap +1.22

Aaron Nola ⚠️ High

34 HRs · 0.214 HR/IP · 20.7% HR/FB · 4.93 ERA

FIP 4.93 · xFIP 3.76 · Gap +1.17

Brady Singer ⚠️ High

30 HRs · 0.200 HR/IP · 20.4% HR/FB · 5.47 ERA

FIP 5.47 · xFIP 4.39 · Gap +1.08

View full report →

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The Wizard has more to show you

Steps 3–9 include FIP-xFIP gap risk, splits edges, arsenal matchups, hot/cold streaks, unlucky barrels, and your final picks summary.

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Morning Wizard

Park + Weather

Susceptible Pitchers

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