Today · 2026-06-27

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-06-26. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.3% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Byron Buxton (R) ⁶	85	-4.9	●	Michael Lorenzen (RHP) COL @ MIN · Target Field	6:10p	🟢 A	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%13.2% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffWill Klein Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance394 ft StadiumTarget Field	○●○○○	1.5×	1	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.37 FIP4.81 IP720.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-62 Weather · Target Field cool air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp63.1°F Wind2.0 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-62 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note63°F, wind 2 mph E (cross) — modifier: +0
2	Kazuma Okamoto (R) ²	78	-1.4	●	Cal Quantrill (RHP) TEX @ TOR · Rogers Centre	3:07p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%12.8% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-26 OffJakob Junis Exit Velo99.9 mph Angle35.0° Distance378 ft StadiumRogers Centre	●○○●●	0.0×	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.23 FIP4.19 IP734.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
3	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁵	75	-12.7	●	Christian Scott (RHP) PHI @ NYM · Citi Field	4:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffDavid Peterson Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle35.0° Distance418 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	●○○○○	1.3×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.03 FIP3.96 IP697.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+32 Weather · Citi Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72.7°F Wind2.6 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note73°F, wind 3 mph N (cross) — modifier: +0
4	Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁴	73	-18.3	●	Randy Vásquez (RHP) LAD @ SD · Petco Park	5:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%15.2% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffZebby Matthews Exit Velo112.8 mph Angle25.0° Distance414 ft StadiumTarget Field	○●○○○	1.0×	1	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.08 FIP4.11 IP720.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-49 Weather · Petco Park cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp63.8°F Wind1.0 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-49 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note64°F, wind 1 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0
5	Curtis Mead (R) ³	72	+3.3	●	Brandon Young (RHP) WSH @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffCristopher Sánchez Exit Velo107.5 mph Angle23.0° Distance409 ft StadiumNationals Park	●○●●○	0.2×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.15 IP728.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-7 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.5°F Wind2.3 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note73°F, wind 2 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +0
6	Pete Alonso (R) ³	72	-6.7	●	Foster Griffin (LHP) WSH @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffJonathan Hernández Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle34.0° Distance398 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	●○○○○	1.0×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.45 FIP4.81 IP763.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-6 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.5°F Wind2.3 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note73°F, wind 2 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +0
7	James Wood (L) ³	71	-9.5	●	Brandon Young (RHP) WSH @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV95.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	13d Last HR · 2026-06-14 OffEmerson Hancock Exit Velo109.4 mph Angle35.0° Distance413 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	3.7×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.15 IP728.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-7 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.5°F Wind2.3 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note73°F, wind 2 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +0
8	Dillon Dingler (R) ⁵	71	-3.2	●	Kai-Wei Teng (RHP) HOU @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffEnyel De Los Santos Exit Velo103.3 mph Angle31.0° Distance432 ft StadiumComerica Park	○○○●○	0.2×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.30 FIP4.75 IP746.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-43 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp59.1°F Wind4.5 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-43 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note59°F, wind 5 mph NE (cross) — modifier: -1
9	Max Muncy (S) ³	70	-6.8	●	Randy Vásquez (RHP) LAD @ SD · Petco Park	5:40p	🟡 B	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls50 BBE Barrel%14.3% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffDylan Smith Exit Velo106.7 mph Angle27.0° Distance416 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○●○○	0.7×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.08 FIP4.11 IP720.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-48 Weather · Petco Park cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp63.8°F Wind1.0 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-48 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note64°F, wind 1 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0
10	Hunter Goodman (R)	69	-7.0	●	Mike Paredes (RHP) COL @ MIN · Target Field	6:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	22	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%7.0% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-26 OffAnthony Banda Exit Velo116.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance451 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○●	0.0×	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.0% HR/91.08 FIP4.27 IP739.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-60 Weather · Target Field cool air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp63.1°F Wind2.0 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-60 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note63°F, wind 2 mph E (cross) — modifier: +0
11	Ben Rice (L) ²	68	-4.5	●	Jake Bennett (LHP) NYY @ BOS · Fenway Park	1:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffChase Burns Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle41.0° Distance375 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	●○○○○	2.0×	·	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.18 FIP4.09 IP711.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-56 Weather · Fenway Park cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.5°F Wind2.4 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-56 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note65°F, wind 2 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0
12	Jake Bauers (L) ³	68	·	●	David Peterson (LHP) CHC @ MIL · American Family Field	6:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffRhett Lowder Exit Velo109.8 mph Angle26.0° Distance428 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○○○●○	0.2×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.0% HR/91.60 FIP4.84 IP744.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+11 Weather · American Family Field cool air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp55.8°F Wind2.0 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note56°F, wind 2 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: -1
13	Jackson Chourio (R) ⁴	67	-4.4	●	David Peterson (LHP) CHC @ MIL · American Family Field	6:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	10	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV92.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-06-17 OffGavin Williams Exit Velo100.2 mph Angle34.0° Distance366 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○○○	4.0×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.0% HR/91.60 FIP4.84 IP744.4 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+12 Weather · American Family Field cool air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp55.8°F Wind2.0 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note56°F, wind 2 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: -1
14	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)	67	-4.8	●	Kyle Harrison (LHP) CHC @ MIL · American Family Field	6:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-06-23 OffKodai Senga Exit Velo101.9 mph Angle27.0° Distance409 ft StadiumCiti Field	●○○○○	1.3×	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.8% HR/90.92 FIP3.51 IP712.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+7 Weather · American Family Field cool air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp55.8°F Wind2.0 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note56°F, wind 2 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: -1
15	Junior Caminero (R)	67	-10.0	●	AZ Bullpen Proxy AZ @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.7% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-26 OffZac Gallen Exit Velo111.3 mph Angle25.0° Distance437 ft StadiumTropicana Field	○●○●●	0.0×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.28 FIP4.53 IP712.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
16	Kody Clemens (L) ⁴	67	-4.8	●	Michael Lorenzen (RHP) COL @ MIN · Target Field	6:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-26 OffTomoyuki Sugano Exit Velo102.5 mph Angle28.0° Distance380 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○○●	0.0×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.37 FIP4.81 IP720.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-60 Weather · Target Field cool air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp63.1°F Wind2.0 mph E Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-60 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note63°F, wind 2 mph E (cross) — modifier: +0
17	Dominic Canzone (L) ³	66	-2.0	●	Slade Cecconi (RHP) SEA @ CLE · Progressive Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffPayton Tolle Exit Velo100.4 mph Angle28.0° Distance348 ft StadiumT-Mobile Park	○○●○○	0.5×	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.21 FIP4.01 IP738.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Progressive Field cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.9°F Wind4.2 mph E Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note65°F, wind 4 mph E (slight_out) — modifier: +0
18	Bryce Harper (L) ²	65	-7.1	●	Christian Scott (RHP) PHI @ NYM · Citi Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffGus Varland Exit Velo103.5 mph Angle29.0° Distance390 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○●○	0.2×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.03 FIP3.96 IP697.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+42 Weather · Citi Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72.7°F Wind2.6 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+42 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note73°F, wind 3 mph N (cross) — modifier: +0
19	Cj Abrams (L) ⁴	64	-4.2	●	Brandon Young (RHP) WSH @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%8.2% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	22d Last HR · 2026-06-05 OffMerrill Kelly Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle20.0° Distance386 ft StadiumChase Field	●○○	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.15 IP728.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-6 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.5°F Wind2.3 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note73°F, wind 2 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +0
20	Joc Pederson (L) ²	64	-1.2	●	Dylan Cease (RHP) TEX @ TOR · Rogers Centre	3:07p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	12	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%6.9% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo107.2 mph Angle28.0° Distance402 ft StadiumRogers Centre	○○●●●	0.0×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.13 FIP4.05 IP731.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
21	Paul Goldschmidt (R) ²	64	-5.2	●	Jake Bennett (LHP) NYY @ BOS · Fenway Park	1:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV87.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffTarik Skubal Exit Velo104.9 mph Angle30.0° Distance427 ft StadiumComerica Park	○○●○○	0.7×	·	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.18 FIP4.09 IP711.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-50 Weather · Fenway Park cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.5°F Wind2.4 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-50 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note65°F, wind 2 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0
22	Gunnar Henderson (L) ³	64	-2.6	●	Foster Griffin (LHP) WSH @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.4% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-06-19 OffRoki Sasaki Exit Velo106.6 mph Angle40.0° Distance375 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○○○○○	1.5×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.45 FIP4.81 IP763.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-4 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.5°F Wind2.3 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note73°F, wind 2 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +0
23	Samuel Basallo (L) ³	64	·	●	Foster Griffin (LHP) WSH @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	12	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffJosé Soriano Exit Velo112.5 mph Angle22.0° Distance373 ft StadiumAngel Stadium	○○○●○	0.1×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.45 FIP4.81 IP763.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-5 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.5°F Wind2.3 mph SSE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note73°F, wind 2 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +0
24	Nick Kurtz (L) ²	63	-7.7	●	Reid Detmers (LHP) ATH @ LAA · Angel Stadium	6:38p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	19	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV94.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffBrent Suter Exit Velo109.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance437 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	●○○○○	2.0×	1	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.10 FIP4.47 IP743.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-61 Weather · Angel Stadium cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.5°F Wind5.0 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-61 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note64°F, wind 5 mph SW (in) — modifier: +0
25	Zach Neto (R) ³	62	-9.5	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) ATH @ LAA · Angel Stadium	6:38p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffElvis Alvarado Exit Velo94.4 mph Angle33.0° Distance391 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○●○○○	0.8×	2	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.48 FIP4.83 IP756.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-68 Weather · Angel Stadium cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.5°F Wind5.0 mph SW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-68 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note64°F, wind 5 mph SW (in) — modifier: +0
26	Ian Happ (S)	62	-5.7	●	Kyle Harrison (LHP) CHC @ MIL · American Family Field	6:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	14d Last HR · 2026-06-13 OffReiver Sanmartin Exit Velo103.6 mph Angle29.0° Distance404 ft StadiumOracle Park	○○○○○	3.2×	·	MIL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.8% HR/90.92 FIP3.51 IP712.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+13 Weather · American Family Field cool air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp55.8°F Wind2.0 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note56°F, wind 2 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: -1
27	Corbin Carroll (L) ³	62	-4.8	●	Cole Sulser (RHP) AZ @ TB · Tropicana Field	6:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	13	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-06-17 OffSam Aldegheri Exit Velo100.8 mph Angle38.0° Distance378 ft StadiumChase Field	○○○○○	2.0×	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.13 FIP4.07 IP733.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
28	Willson Contreras (R) ⁴	62	-5.7	●	Gerrit Cole (RHP) NYY @ BOS · Fenway Park	1:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-26 OffWill Warren Exit Velo111.9 mph Angle36.0° Distance418 ft StadiumFenway Park	○○○○●	0.0×	·	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.0% HR/90.89 FIP3.59 IP725.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-52 Weather · Fenway Park cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.5°F Wind2.4 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-52 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note65°F, wind 2 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: +0
29	Yordan Alvarez (L) ³	61	-12.3	●	Framber Valdez (LHP) HOU @ DET · Comerica Park	1:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	25	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	25d Last HR · 2026-06-02 OffBubba Chandler Exit Velo103.0 mph Angle39.0° Distance363 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○○○○○	3.0×	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.7% HR/91.03 FIP3.94 IP744.7 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-28 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp59.1°F Wind4.5 mph NE Charactercross HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-28 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceblend · 2 HR Note59°F, wind 5 mph NE (cross) — modifier: -1
30	Colson Montgomery (L) ⁴	61	-9.8	●	Michael Wacha (RHP) KC @ CWS · Rate Field	4:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffRyan Weathers Exit Velo107.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance420 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○○	3.5×	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.23 FIP4.54 IP725.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR NoteUnknown stadium

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.3%

▼ -2.6 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 18.6% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-06-26

27 HRs

40%

11 caught / 27 HRs

in top 50

#4 Kazuma Okamoto

37.7%

🟡

#5 Hunter Goodman

32.8%

🟡

#13 Kody Clemens

18.7%

🔵

#25 Junior Caminero

26.9%

🔵

#27 Miguel Vargas

13.1%

🔵

#31 Ty France

28.6%

🔵

#33 Brooks Lee

22.5%

🔵

#37 Andrew Benintendi

29.9%

🔵

#40 Justin Foscue

31.9%

🟠

#42 Esmerlyn Valdez

16.6%

🟠

#43 Garrett Mitchell

15.6%

🟠

Missed

Willson Contreras Colt Emerson William Contreras Kerry Carpenter Mookie Betts +11 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Dillon Dingler ×3 Kazuma Okamoto ×3 Bryce Harper ×2 CJ Abrams ×2 Byron Buxton ×2

❄️ Cold

Corbin Carroll 0 of 7d James Wood 0 of 7d Juan Soto 0 of 7d Ian Happ 0 of 7d Colson Montgomery 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.3%

B 19.7%

C+ 16.0%

C 13.0%

D 8.5%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-06-27

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.