2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
COL
@ 6:10p
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Target Field

First pitch 6:10p · roof open
Park 1.09× Wind 2 mph cross 63°F open
-6
10 mph · in
81°F
6:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
9 mph · in
80°F
7:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-5
9 mph · in
78°F
8:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
10 mph · in
76°F
9:10p
Suppress for HR environment
-7
10 mph · in
74°F
10:10p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.09

63°F, wind 2 mph E (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.65 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.84 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 85 🟢 A +280 · 1 0.328 90.7 13.2% 35.0% vs RHP 402 33.3% 33.3% 34.7% 41
2 Kody Clemens Kody Clemens 67 🔵 C+ +390 · 16 0.228 92.3 10.6% 19.1% vs RHP 388 15.4% 18.2% 20.3% 37
3 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 59 🟠 C +625 🌧️ COOL 38 0.194 87.6 6.5% 23.8% vs RHP 369 17.8% 27.3% 24.6% 41
4 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 58 🟠 C +475 · 40 0.154 88.6 11.0% 20.0% vs RHP 397 17.1% 16.7% 12.8% 35
5 Josh Bell Josh Bell 53 🟠 C +425 🌧️ COOL 63 0.143 89.6 9.4% 21.2% vs RHP 402 8.6% 20.0% 13.4% 36
6 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 50 🟠 C +525 🌤️ WARM 75 0.148 86.0 7.9% 13.5% vs RHP 406 6.2% 22.2% 13.7% 33
7 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 46 ⚪ D +700 🔥 HOT 94 0.140 89.4 8.5% 20.8% vs RHP 401 0.0% 0.0% 19.6% 26
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 35 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 165 0.083 84.5 5.4% 5.1% vs RHP 369 2.9% 9.1% 7.6% 31
9 Austin Martin Austin Martin 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 175 0.079 86.7 4.7% 4.3% vs RHP 392 2.1% 0.0% 7.5% 15
Mike Paredes
Mike Paredes RHP
0.90 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.26 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman 69 🔵 C+ +330 · 10 0.267 90.9 7.0% 37.0% vs RHP 404 25.7% 27.3% 26.5% 34
2 Tj Rumfield Tj Rumfield 50 🟠 C +625 ❄ COLD 73 0.199 84.3 4.4% 21.1% vs RHP 406 11.1% 0.0% 24.9% 41
3 Jake Mccarthy Jake Mccarthy 46 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 96 0.164 84.4 3.8% 15.6% vs RHP 418 22.2% 0.0% 12.1% 38
4 Willi Castro Willi Castro 42 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 113 0.122 88.4 4.3% 11.6% vs RHP 425 6.7% 18.2% 14.5% 32
5 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 42 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 116 0.137 88.0 4.9% 18.2% vs RHP 415 6.8% 9.1% 7.2% 25
6 Kyle Karros Kyle Karros 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 122 0.126 89.2 4.8% 15.0% vs RHP 404 6.8% 12.5% 6.7% 23
7 Troy Johnston Troy Johnston 40 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 123 0.151 89.3 2.8% 10.0% vs RHP 415 1.7% 14.3% 9.6% 21
8 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 36 ⚪ D +950 · 157 0.097 91.4 4.8% 11.1% vs RHP 389 3.0% 0.0% 8.5% 18
9 Tyler Freeman Tyler Freeman 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 188 0.091 87.6 2.0% 4.5% vs RHP 369 3.2% 0.0% 5.6% 28
🏟️
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