2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Kazuma Okamoto 6 HRs · 3 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 4 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 5 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 8 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 9 Brooks Lee 4 HRs · 10 Mookie Betts 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Junior Caminero 4 HRs
CHC
@ 6:10p
MIL
American Family Field · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

American Family Field

First pitch 6:10p · roof retractable
Park 1.12× Wind 2 mph cross 56°F retractable
+9
6 mph · out
74°F
6:10p
Boost for HR environment
+9
7 mph · out
73°F
7:10p
Boost for HR environment
+7
6 mph · slight_out
70°F
8:10p
Boost for HR environment
+7
6 mph · slight_out
68°F
9:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
6 mph · slight_out
66°F
10:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.00

56°F, wind 2 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

David Peterson
David Peterson LHP
0.76 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.04 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 68 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 12 0.273 92.8 9.1% 16.7% vs LHP 401 20.0% 11.1% 21.4% 20
2 Jackson Chourio Jackson Chourio 67 🔵 C+ +400 · 13 0.233 92.4 9.3% 50.0% vs LHP 395 17.5% 25.0% 34.2% 41
3 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 55 🟠 C +750 · 52 0.153 92.3 9.0% 17.2% 422 8.6% 30.0% 22.5% 27
4 Brice Turang Brice Turang 53 🟠 C +850 · 62 0.196 91.0 7.5% 12.5% vs LHP 406 10.5% 9.1% 16.0% 28
5 William Contreras William Contreras 50 🟠 C +475 🔥 HOT 80 0.149 90.6 6.9% 10.5% vs LHP 416 12.3% 27.3% 14.6% 36
6 Christian Yelich Christian Yelich 43 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 107 0.134 88.3 6.3% 33.3% vs LHP 399 7.0% 11.1% 13.9% 28
7 David Hamilton David Hamilton 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 169 0.098 86.3 5.1% 6.2% 383 5.4% 0.0% 9.7% 17
8 Sal Frelick Sal Frelick 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 180 0.093 85.9 3.9% 12.5% vs LHP 402 3.2% 0.0% 10.7% 23
Kyle Harrison
Kyle Harrison LHP
1.08 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.09 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 67 🔵 C+ +390 · 14 0.230 91.7 9.1% 22.2% vs LHP 393 19.5% 42.9% 25.9% 32
2 Ian Happ Ian Happ 62 🔵 C+ +400 🌧️ COOL 26 0.237 90.1 10.0% 17.4% vs LHP 403 21.0% 7.1% 17.5% 30
3 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 53 🟠 C +525 · 58 0.171 89.3 7.3% 20.0% vs LHP 397 13.8% 28.6% 22.0% 33
4 Michael Busch Michael Busch 49 ⚪ D +500 · 83 0.155 88.4 9.0% 10.0% vs LHP 400 12.0% 14.3% 8.8% 35
5 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 48 ⚪ D +425 🌤️ WARM 90 0.167 89.5 7.8% 25.0% vs LHP 409 11.5% 7.7% 13.5% 23
6 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 39 ⚪ D +525 · 134 0.115 88.8 6.9% 16.7% vs LHP 421 5.6% 8.3% 10.2% 19
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 37 ⚪ D +525 ❄ COLD 150 0.130 87.8 5.9% 7.1% vs LHP 395 6.2% 0.0% 8.3% 34
8 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 29 ⚪ D +950 ❄ COLD 191 0.104 85.6 2.7% 12.5% vs LHP 383 4.9% 0.0% 9.1% 41
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