CHC
@
6:10p
MIL
Stadium Conditions
American Family Field
First pitch 6:10p
· roof retractable
Park 1.12×
Wind 2 mph cross
56°F
retractable
+9
6 mph · out
74°F
6:10p
Boost for HR environment
+9
7 mph · out
73°F
7:10p
Boost for HR environment
+7
6 mph · slight_out
70°F
8:10p
Boost for HR environment
+7
6 mph · slight_out
68°F
9:10p
Boost for HR environment
+6
6 mph · slight_out
66°F
10:10p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Elevated · Combined 1.00
56°F, wind 2 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Bauers | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 12 | 0.273 | 92.8 | 9.1% | 16.7% vs LHP | 401 | 20.0% | 11.1% | 21.4% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Jackson Chourio | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | · | 13 | 0.233 | 92.4 | 9.3% | 50.0% vs LHP | 395 | 17.5% | 25.0% | 34.2% | 41 |
| 3 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 55 | 🟠 C | +750 | · | 52 | 0.153 | 92.3 | 9.0% | 17.2% | 422 | 8.6% | 30.0% | 22.5% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Brice Turang | 53 | 🟠 C | +850 | · | 62 | 0.196 | 91.0 | 7.5% | 12.5% vs LHP | 406 | 10.5% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
William Contreras | 50 | 🟠 C | +475 | 🔥 HOT | 80 | 0.149 | 90.6 | 6.9% | 10.5% vs LHP | 416 | 12.3% | 27.3% | 14.6% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Christian Yelich ⚡ | 43 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 107 | 0.134 | 88.3 | 6.3% | 33.3% vs LHP | 399 | 7.0% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
David Hamilton ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 169 | 0.098 | 86.3 | 5.1% | 6.2% | 383 | 5.4% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Sal Frelick | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 180 | 0.093 | 85.9 | 3.9% | 12.5% vs LHP | 402 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 23 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | · | 14 | 0.230 | 91.7 | 9.1% | 22.2% vs LHP | 393 | 19.5% | 42.9% | 25.9% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Ian Happ | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | 🌧️ COOL | 26 | 0.237 | 90.1 | 10.0% | 17.4% vs LHP | 403 | 21.0% | 7.1% | 17.5% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 53 | 🟠 C | +525 | · | 58 | 0.171 | 89.3 | 7.3% | 20.0% vs LHP | 397 | 13.8% | 28.6% | 22.0% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Michael Busch | 49 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 83 | 0.155 | 88.4 | 9.0% | 10.0% vs LHP | 400 | 12.0% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 48 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 90 | 0.167 | 89.5 | 7.8% | 25.0% vs LHP | 409 | 11.5% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Carson Kelly | 39 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 134 | 0.115 | 88.8 | 6.9% | 16.7% vs LHP | 421 | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 19 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 37 | ⚪ D | +525 | ❄ COLD | 150 | 0.130 | 87.8 | 5.9% | 7.1% vs LHP | 395 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 29 | ⚪ D | +950 | ❄ COLD | 191 | 0.104 | 85.6 | 2.7% | 12.5% vs LHP | 383 | 4.9% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 41 |