WSH
@
7:05p
BAL
Stadium Conditions
Camden Yards
First pitch 7:05p
· roof open
Park 1.30×
Wind 2 mph cross
74°F
open
+7
3 mph · in
75°F
7:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
3 mph · in
76°F
8:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
3 mph · in
74°F
9:05p
Boost for HR environment
+7
3 mph · in
73°F
10:05p
Boost for HR environment
+6
3 mph · in
71°F
11:05p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.30
73°F, wind 2 mph SSE (cross) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Curtis Mead | 72 | 🟡 B | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 5 | 0.250 | 88.8 | 8.8% | 27.6% vs RHP | 400 | 23.3% | 36.4% | 35.8% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
James Wood | 71 | 🟡 B | +280 | ❄ COLD | 7 | 0.240 | 95.5 | 12.4% | 34.1% vs RHP | 408 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 22.6% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Cj Abrams | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 19 | 0.234 | 90.0 | 8.2% | 28.6% vs RHP | 389 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 35.2% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Keibert Ruiz | 52 | 🟠 C | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 68 | 0.188 | 89.3 | 6.0% | 11.1% vs RHP | 378 | 13.8% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Daylen Lile | 45 | ⚪ D | +625 | ❄ COLD | 101 | 0.154 | 87.5 | 6.8% | 11.4% vs RHP | 403 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Jacob Young | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 105 | 0.144 | 89.1 | 6.4% | 20.6% vs RHP | 391 | 8.9% | 0.0% | 11.6% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Nasim Nunez | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 217 | 0.043 | 84.8 | · | 0.0% vs RHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 27 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso ⚡ | 72 | 🟡 B | +320 | 🌧️ COOL | 6 | 0.219 | 94.2 | 11.3% | 12.5% vs LHP | 397 | 19.8% | 25.0% | 31.9% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 22 | 0.203 | 89.5 | 9.4% | 53.8% vs LHP | 388 | 19.0% | 16.7% | 25.7% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 23 | 0.206 | 91.3 | 11.3% | 16.7% vs LHP | 401 | 13.8% | 8.3% | 22.7% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Coby Mayo | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +350 | 🌤️ WARM | 31 | 0.178 | 91.5 | 10.3% | 43.8% vs LHP | 403 | 15.2% | 11.1% | 25.2% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Colton Cowser | 59 | 🟠 C | +525 | ❄ COLD | 37 | 0.166 | 85.9 | 11.0% | 20.0% vs LHP | 417 | 17.9% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 61 | 0.160 | 89.3 | 8.5% | 16.7% vs LHP | 391 | 10.2% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Ward | 45 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 100 | 0.107 | 89.7 | 7.4% | 11.8% vs LHP | 393 | 6.1% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 40 |
| 8 |
|
Leody Taveras | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 121 | 0.129 | 87.5 | 6.6% | 0.0% vs LHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 27 |