Today · 2026-06-26

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

#14 Kody Clemens vs Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.29 HR/FB 20.8%

📦 STACK NYM Bullpen Proxy FIP 3.98 HR/FB 12.5% → #1 Kyle Schwarber, #11 Bryce Harper

📦 STACK Tomoyuki Sugano FIP 5.29 HR/FB 12.2% → #2 Byron Buxton, #14 Kody Clemens

📦 STACK Colin Rea FIP 4.82 HR/FB 12.1% → #3 Jake Bauers, #6 Jackson Chourio

📦 STACK Trevor Rogers FIP 4.31 HR/FB 8.3% → #7 James Wood, #10 Curtis Mead, #15 Cj Abrams

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-06-25. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.2% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L)	90	-3.1	●	NYM Bullpen Proxy PHI @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔥 A+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%21.1% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffDavid Peterson Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle35.0° Distance418 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	●●○○○	1.0×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.04 FIP3.98 IP686.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+47 Weather · Citi Field mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.4°F Wind5.0 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note67°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
2	Byron Buxton (R) ⁶	90	-7.5	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ MIN · Target Field	7:10p	🔥 A+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	25	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%16.6% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffWill Klein Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle35.0° Distance394 ft StadiumTarget Field	●○●○○	1.0×	1	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.37 FIP4.81 IP720.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-28 Weather · Target Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp56.2°F Wind3.4 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-28 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note56°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: -1
3	Jake Bauers (L) ⁴	79	-2.0	●	Colin Rea (RHP) CHC @ MIL · American Family Field	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffRhett Lowder Exit Velo109.8 mph Angle26.0° Distance428 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○○○○●	0.0×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.0% HR/91.59 FIP4.82 IP734.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+12 Weather · American Family Field cold air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp54.7°F Wind2.0 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note55°F, wind 2 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: -2
4	Hunter Goodman (R) ²	74	-7.0	●	Taj Bradley (RHP) COL @ MIN · Target Field	7:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	21	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-06-17 OffEthan Roberts Exit Velo107.7 mph Angle22.0° Distance417 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○○○	1.7×	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.1% HR/91.09 FIP4.26 IP736.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-27 Weather · Target Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp56.2°F Wind3.4 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note56°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: -1
5	Jackson Chourio (R) ³	74	-5.5	●	Colin Rea (RHP) CHC @ MIL · American Family Field	6:45p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	10	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-06-17 OffGavin Williams Exit Velo100.2 mph Angle34.0° Distance366 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○○○	3.5×	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.0% HR/91.59 FIP4.82 IP734.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+12 Weather · American Family Field cold air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp54.7°F Wind2.0 mph N Characterslight_out HR Modifier-2 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note55°F, wind 2 mph N (slight_out) — modifier: -2
6	James Wood (L) ²	74	-5.5	●	Trevor Rogers (LHP) WSH @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.8% Avg EV95.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	12d Last HR · 2026-06-14 OffEmerson Hancock Exit Velo109.4 mph Angle35.0° Distance413 ft StadiumNationals Park	○○○○○	3.3×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.15 IP728.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+6 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72.0°F Wind4.1 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note72°F, wind 4 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
7	Kazuma Okamoto (R) ²	74	-3.6	●	Nathan Eovaldi (RHP) TEX @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffJacob Latz Exit Velo108.1 mph Angle26.0° Distance420 ft StadiumRogers Centre	○●○○●	0.0×	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.23 FIP4.20 IP725.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
8	Curtis Mead (R) ²	72	-0.3	●	Trevor Rogers (LHP) WSH @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟡 B	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV88.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffCristopher Sánchez Exit Velo107.5 mph Angle23.0° Distance409 ft StadiumNationals Park	○●○●●	0.0×	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.15 IP728.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-4 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72.0°F Wind4.1 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note72°F, wind 4 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
9	Ben Rice (L) ²	71	-3.6	●	Payton Tolle (LHP) NYY @ BOS · Fenway Park	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	22	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffChase Burns Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle41.0° Distance375 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	●○○○○	2.0×	·	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.18 FIP4.10 IP702.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+10 Weather · Fenway Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66.0°F Wind1.0 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+10 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note66°F, wind 1 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0
10	Bryce Harper (L)	71	-3.2	●	NYM Bullpen Proxy PHI @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffGus Varland Exit Velo103.5 mph Angle29.0° Distance390 ft StadiumNationals Park	●○○○●	0.0×	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.04 FIP3.98 IP686.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+49 Weather · Citi Field mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.4°F Wind5.0 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+49 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note67°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
11	Juan Soto (L) ⁴	69	-7.6	●	Zack Wheeler (RHP) PHI @ NYM · Citi Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffAaron Nola Exit Velo105.0 mph Angle42.0° Distance389 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○○	2.0×	·	PHI Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.21 FIP3.81 IP715.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+47 Weather · Citi Field mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.4°F Wind5.0 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note67°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
12	Colson Montgomery (L)	69	·	●	KC Bullpen Proxy KC @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%14.3% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	8d Last HR · 2026-06-18 OffRyan Weathers Exit Velo107.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance420 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○○	3.0×	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.20 FIP4.50 IP719.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR NoteUnknown stadium
13	Kody Clemens (L) ⁴	69	-7.6	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ MIN · Target Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	11	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%13.4% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-06-16 OffKumar Rocker Exit Velo104.9 mph Angle23.0° Distance367 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	○○○○○	1.5×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.37 FIP4.81 IP720.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-31 Weather · Target Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp56.2°F Wind3.4 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-31 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note56°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: -1
14	Jac Caglianone (L)	68	·	●	CWS Bullpen Proxy KC @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%17.0% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-06-23 OffShane McClanahan Exit Velo110.0 mph Angle22.0° Distance416 ft StadiumTropicana Field	●○●○○	0.4×	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.14 FIP4.42 IP710.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR NoteUnknown stadium
15	Joc Pederson (L) ⁴	68	-1.5	●	Patrick Corbin (LHP) TEX @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	12	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo107.2 mph Angle28.0° Distance402 ft StadiumRogers Centre	○○●●●	0.0×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.01 IP725.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
16	Nick Kurtz (L) ³	67	-8.2	●	Walbert Ureña (RHP) ATH @ LAA · Angel Stadium	6:38p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffBrent Suter Exit Velo109.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance437 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○●○○○	1.5×	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.10 FIP4.47 IP743.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-53 Weather · Angel Stadium cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.7°F Wind3 mph N Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-53 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note65°F, wind 3 mph N (out) — modifier: +0
17	Dominic Canzone (L) ³	67	·	●	Joey Cantillo (LHP) SEA @ CLE · Progressive Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	12	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%11.6% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffPayton Tolle Exit Velo100.4 mph Angle28.0° Distance348 ft StadiumT-Mobile Park	○○○●○	0.2×	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.21 FIP4.01 IP738.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-5 Weather · Progressive Field cool air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp59.8°F Wind4.5 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note60°F, wind 4 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: -1
18	Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁵	66	-11.0	●	Walker Buehler (RHP) LAD @ SD · Petco Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV93.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-06-22 OffZebby Matthews Exit Velo112.8 mph Angle25.0° Distance414 ft StadiumTarget Field	●○●○○	0.7×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.08 FIP4.11 IP720.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-24 Weather · Petco Park cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.2°F Wind3 mph WNW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-24 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note64°F, wind 3 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +0
19	Dillon Dingler (R) ⁴	66	-4.6	●	Spencer Arrighetti (RHP) HOU @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV91.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffEnyel De Los Santos Exit Velo103.3 mph Angle31.0° Distance432 ft StadiumComerica Park	●○○○●	0.0×	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.31 FIP4.78 IP737.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-37 Weather · Comerica Park cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp57.8°F Wind2.3 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-37 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note58°F, wind 2 mph NNW (out) — modifier: -1
20	Wyatt Langford (R) ²	65	-5.3	●	Patrick Corbin (LHP) TEX @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	8	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%7.2% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise BarrelYes Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo101.7 mph Angle32.0° Distance401 ft StadiumRogers Centre	●○○●●	0.0×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.01 IP725.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 7 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
21	Cj Abrams (L) ³	64	-4.2	●	Trevor Rogers (LHP) WSH @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	21d Last HR · 2026-06-05 OffMerrill Kelly Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle20.0° Distance386 ft StadiumChase Field	●○○	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/91.07 FIP4.15 IP728.8 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+8 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72.0°F Wind4.1 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note72°F, wind 4 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
22	Pete Alonso (R) ²	64	-8.4	●	Andrew Alvarez (LHP) WSH @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffJonathan Hernández Exit Velo106.8 mph Angle34.0° Distance398 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○●○○○	0.8×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.43 FIP4.78 IP754.7 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+6 Weather · Camden Yards warm air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp72.0°F Wind4.1 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note72°F, wind 4 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0
23	Paul Goldschmidt (R)	64	-5.6	●	Payton Tolle (LHP) NYY @ BOS · Fenway Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV86.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffTarik Skubal Exit Velo104.9 mph Angle30.0° Distance427 ft StadiumComerica Park	●○○●○	0.3×	·	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.18 FIP4.10 IP702.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+19 Weather · Fenway Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp66.0°F Wind1.0 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+19 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note66°F, wind 1 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +0
24	Royce Lewis (R) ³	64	-5.2	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) COL @ MIN · Target Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	7	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV88.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-06-19 OffKevin Ginkel Exit Velo105.2 mph Angle28.0° Distance427 ft StadiumChase Field	○○○○○	1.0×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.37 FIP4.81 IP720.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-24 Weather · Target Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp56.2°F Wind3.4 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-24 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 7 HR Note56°F, wind 3 mph ESE (in) — modifier: -1
25	Jake Burger (R) ³	63	-5.9	●	Patrick Corbin (LHP) TEX @ TOR · Rogers Centre	7:07p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffKevin Gausman Exit Velo106.7 mph Angle40.0° Distance378 ft StadiumRogers Centre	●○○○●	0.0×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.10 FIP4.01 IP725.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rogers Centre neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
26	Junior Caminero (R) ⁴	63	-11.1	●	Zac Gallen (RHP) AZ @ TB · Tropicana Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffTyler Tolbert Exit Velo103.4 mph Angle36.0° Distance393 ft StadiumTropicana Field	○○●○●	0.0×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.28 FIP4.53 IP712.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
27	Drake Baldwin (L)	63	·	●	SF Bullpen Proxy ATL @ SF · Oracle Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	14	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls13 BBE Barrel%17.8% Avg EV92.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	41d Last HR · 2026-05-16 OffPayton Tolle Exit Velo106.2 mph Angle22.0° Distance421 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○○○	7.5×	·	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.01 FIP4.23 IP700.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+62 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · strong partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp56.4°F Wind19.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+62 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note56°F, wind 19 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2
28	Matt Olson (L)	63	·	●	SF Bullpen Proxy ATL @ SF · Oracle Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	14d Last HR · 2026-06-12 OffCionel Pérez Exit Velo102.1 mph Angle22.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCiti Field	○○○○○	3.0×	·	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.01 FIP4.23 IP700.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+72 Weather · Oracle Park cool air · strong partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp56.4°F Wind19.0 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+72 · Deep green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note56°F, wind 19 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +2
29	Max Muncy (S) ³	62	-7.9	●	Walker Buehler (RHP) LAD @ SD · Petco Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls51 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-06-24 OffDylan Smith Exit Velo106.7 mph Angle27.0° Distance416 ft StadiumTarget Field	○○○●○	0.3×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.08 FIP4.11 IP720.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-25 Weather · Petco Park cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.2°F Wind3 mph WNW Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-25 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note64°F, wind 3 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +0
30	Zach Neto (R) ²	62	-7.9	●	J.T. Ginn (RHP) ATH @ LAA · Angel Stadium	6:38p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Analyst note: recent contact quality can lead HR results. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-06-21 OffElvis Alvarado Exit Velo94.4 mph Angle33.0° Distance391 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	●○●○○	0.5×	1	ATH Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.46 FIP4.82 IP744.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-62 Weather · Angel Stadium cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.7°F Wind3 mph N Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-62 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note65°F, wind 3 mph N (out) — modifier: +0

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

17.9%

▼ -6.0 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 20.9% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-06-25

15 HRs

66%

10 caught / 15 HRs

in top 50

#5 Kazuma Okamoto

29.4%

🟡

#8 Dillon Dingler

21.1%

🔵

#11 Joc Pederson

26.9%

🔵

#18 Wyatt Langford

26.2%

🔵

#21 Jake Burger

25.5%

🟠

#23 Bryce Harper

22.0%

🟠

#24 Curtis Mead

25.0%

🟠

#29 Junior Caminero

18.0%

🟠

#39 Brandon Lowe

18.4%

🟠

#46 Willy Adames

14.4%

⚪

Missed

Brandon Marsh Carter Jensen José Caballero Henry Davis Caleb Durbin

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

CJ Abrams ×3 Dillon Dingler ×3 Bryce Harper ×2 Ben Rice ×2 Byron Buxton ×2

❄️ Cold

Ian Happ 0 of 8d Corbin Carroll 0 of 7d James Wood 0 of 7d Christian Walker 0 of 6d Colson Montgomery 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 20.4%

B 19.7%

C+ 15.9%

C 13.0%

D 8.5%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-06-26

You saw the full board yesterday

The top 10 picks. Every morning.