2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs
AZ
@ 7:10p
TB
Tropicana Field · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Tropicana Field

First pitch 7:10p · roof unknown
Park 0.93× Wind 0 mph dome unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.93

Dome — weather irrelevant. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Zac Gallen
Zac Gallen RHP
1.73 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.79 ·
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 63 🔵 C+ +290 🌤️ WARM 26 0.201 93.2 10.7% 32.5% vs RHP 406 21.3% 23.1% 26.7% 35
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 52 🟠 C +390 🌧️ COOL 70 0.176 90.8 10.4% 21.8% vs RHP 391 13.7% 7.7% 10.9% 43
3 Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz 44 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 109 0.174 90.6 8.7% 24.2% vs RHP 385 0.0% 0.0% 12.6% 37
4 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 34 ⚪ D +475 ❄ COLD 169 0.103 88.0 5.7% 14.3% vs RHP 386 8.3% 0.0% 7.4% 23
5 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 192 0.090 88.4 3.9% 0.0% vs RHP 394 1.8% 12.5% 6.5% 24
6 Richie Palacios Richie Palacios 28 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 200 0.080 86.6 5.7% 5.0% vs RHP 382 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 24
7 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 26 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 209 0.073 84.1 4.8% 0.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 25
8 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 213 0.071 86.2 3.6% 6.2% vs RHP 408 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 22
9 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 222 0.056 84.0 · 5.0% vs RHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 43
Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez RHP
1.08 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.38 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 58 🟠 C +350 🌧️ COOL 43 0.252 91.8 9.3% 25.0% vs RHP 406 16.7% 15.4% 15.3% 39
2 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 49 ⚪ D +390 🌤️ WARM 82 0.195 91.3 8.6% 14.3% vs RHP 413 12.9% 15.4% 10.3% 44
3 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 47 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 95 0.198 90.3 8.2% 17.6% vs RHP 395 11.1% 8.3% 12.0% 32
4 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 37 ⚪ D +575 · 147 0.157 85.5 6.5% 15.4% vs RHP 400 9.6% 0.0% 9.2% 39
5 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 35 ⚪ D · · 162 0.159 86.9 5.4% 11.1% vs RHP 399 7.0% 0.0% 8.0% 25
6 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 177 0.117 89.3 6.7% 16.7% vs RHP 396 7.9% 0.0% 7.1% 12
7 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 28 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 202 0.102 87.2 4.3% 7.9% vs RHP 379 4.6% 7.7% 6.3% 35
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