2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs
TEX
@ 7:07p
TOR
Rogers Centre · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Rogers Centre

First pitch 7:07p · roof unknown
Park 1.16× Wind 0 mph dome unknown
Hourly forecast unavailable; showing current stadium conditions only.
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.16

Dome — weather irrelevant. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Nathan Eovaldi
Nathan Eovaldi RHP 💥 Meltdown
1.58 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.98 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 74 🟡 B +370 · 7 0.215 92.2 11.1% 30.9% vs RHP 400 19.4% 38.5% 37.1% 30
2 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 58 🟠 C +500 🌤️ WARM 45 0.169 86.2 7.7% 16.2% vs RHP 386 9.6% 40.0% 22.8% 13
3 George Springer George Springer 56 🟠 C +390 · 50 0.166 88.3 8.1% 21.2% vs RHP 392 9.9% 23.1% 24.5% 38
4 Brandon Valenzuela Brandon Valenzuela 55 🟠 C +750 🌧️ COOL 57 0.188 89.5 8.3% 23.8% vs RHP 397 13.0% 0.0% 16.4% 9
5 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 55 🟠 C +475 ❄ COLD 58 0.178 91.1 9.4% 22.2% vs RHP 398 10.7% 0.0% 15.3% 14
6 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 42 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 120 0.142 85.3 4.7% 8.3% vs RHP 374 9.5% 0.0% 11.0% 32
7 Andres Gimenez Andres Gimenez 41 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 123 0.140 86.5 5.7% 13.2% vs RHP 391 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 28
8 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 38 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 139 0.114 86.3 2.6% 13.6% vs RHP 383 5.0% 18.2% 13.2% 31
Patrick Corbin
Patrick Corbin LHP
1.14 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.01 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Joc Pederson Joc Pederson 68 🔵 C+ +475 🌤️ WARM 15 0.215 91.6 8.6% 20.7% 386 17.9% 36.4% 21.0% 33
2 Wyatt Langford Wyatt Langford 65 🔵 C+ +390 🌤️ WARM 20 0.200 89.2 7.2% 22.2% vs LHP 394 15.7% 50.0% 28.1% 43
3 Jake Burger Jake Burger 63 🔵 C+ +390 🌤️ WARM 25 0.193 90.3 8.4% 26.7% vs LHP 397 15.3% 25.0% 28.4% 28
4 Corey Seager Corey Seager 60 🔵 C+ +370 ❄ COLD 39 0.188 91.2 10.6% 14.3% vs LHP 394 16.7% 0.0% 12.5% 3
5 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 55 🟠 C +425 🔥 HOT 60 0.167 92.6 9.3% 6.2% vs LHP 411 9.5% 8.3% 7.8% 39
6 Kyle Higashioka Kyle Higashioka 53 🟠 C +575 ❄ COLD 65 0.153 88.0 8.6% 40.0% vs LHP 397 9.4% 12.5% 17.0% 18
7 Ezequiel Duran Ezequiel Duran 52 🟠 C +625 ❄ COLD 69 0.157 89.3 6.5% 16.7% vs LHP 377 10.3% 16.7% 15.4% 32
8 Josh Jung Josh Jung 46 ⚪ D +500 🌤️ WARM 100 0.137 90.2 6.4% 16.7% vs LHP 387 11.0% 0.0% 10.7% 37
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