2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs
WSH
@ 7:05p
BAL
Camden Yards · 15 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Camden Yards

First pitch 7:05p · roof open
Park 1.30× Wind 4 mph slight_out 72°F open
+13
3 mph · out
80°F
7:05p
Boost for HR environment
+12
3 mph · slight_out
77°F
8:05p
Boost for HR environment
+14
4 mph · out
76°F
9:05p
Boost for HR environment
+13
4 mph · out
75°F
10:05p
Boost for HR environment
+11
5 mph · slight_out
74°F
11:05p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.30

72°F, wind 4 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers LHP
1.12 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.30 ·
7 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 74 🟡 B +330 ❄ COLD 6 0.244 95.8 12.8% 29.4% vs LHP 408 25.4% 15.4% 23.3% 36
2 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 72 🟡 B +475 🌧️ COOL 8 0.242 88.6 8.6% 20.0% vs LHP 399 23.8% 36.4% 35.6% 30
3 Cj Abrams Cj Abrams 64 🔵 C+ +425 🌧️ COOL 21 0.238 90.1 8.4% 16.7% vs LHP 389 33.3% 0.0% 29.5% 34
4 Keibert Ruiz Keibert Ruiz 54 🟠 C +700 🌧️ COOL 61 0.193 89.3 6.2% 20.0% vs LHP 378 14.3% 10.0% 16.8% 27
5 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 46 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 102 0.153 87.5 7.0% 0.0% vs LHP 403 8.2% 0.0% 8.5% 37
6 Jacob Young Jacob Young 45 ⚪ D +950 · 106 0.145 89.2 6.6% 5.6% vs LHP 391 9.1% 0.0% 10.2% 24
7 Nasim Nunez Nasim Nunez 21 ⚪ D · · 220 0.043 84.6 · 0.0% vs LHP 0 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 26
Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez LHP
0.56 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP +0.14 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 64 🔵 C+ +330 ❄ COLD 22 0.219 94.3 8.4% 12.5% vs LHP 397 20.0% 25.0% 30.5% 27
2 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 60 🔵 C+ +475 🌤️ WARM 36 0.203 89.6 7.0% 53.8% vs LHP 388 19.2% 25.0% 37.8% 37
3 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 58 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 44 0.206 91.0 8.0% 16.7% vs LHP 400 14.0% 16.7% 28.1% 30
4 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 54 🟠 C +390 🌧️ COOL 62 0.178 91.4 7.6% 43.8% vs LHP 403 15.4% 11.1% 29.3% 14
5 Colton Cowser Colton Cowser 51 🟠 C +525 ❄ COLD 77 0.166 85.7 8.2% 20.0% vs LHP 417 17.9% 10.0% 14.0% 22
6 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 46 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 98 0.160 89.3 6.4% 16.7% vs LHP 391 10.2% 11.1% 15.7% 18
7 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 38 ⚪ D +575 🌤️ WARM 140 0.107 89.8 5.5% 11.8% vs LHP 393 6.2% 16.7% 11.1% 39
8 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 35 ⚪ D · · 163 0.129 87.5 5.0% 0.0% vs LHP 409 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 26
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