WSH
@
7:05p
BAL
Stadium Conditions
Camden Yards
First pitch 7:05p
· roof open
Park 1.30×
Wind 4 mph slight_out
72°F
open
+13
3 mph · out
80°F
7:05p
Boost for HR environment
+12
3 mph · slight_out
77°F
8:05p
Boost for HR environment
+14
4 mph · out
76°F
9:05p
Boost for HR environment
+13
4 mph · out
75°F
10:05p
Boost for HR environment
+11
5 mph · slight_out
74°F
11:05p
Boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.30
72°F, wind 4 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 74 | 🟡 B | +330 | ❄ COLD | 6 | 0.244 | 95.8 | 12.8% | 29.4% vs LHP | 408 | 25.4% | 15.4% | 23.3% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Curtis Mead ⚡ | 72 | 🟡 B | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 8 | 0.242 | 88.6 | 8.6% | 20.0% vs LHP | 399 | 23.8% | 36.4% | 35.6% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Cj Abrams ⚡ | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | 🌧️ COOL | 21 | 0.238 | 90.1 | 8.4% | 16.7% vs LHP | 389 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 29.5% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Keibert Ruiz | 54 | 🟠 C | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 61 | 0.193 | 89.3 | 6.2% | 20.0% vs LHP | 378 | 14.3% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Daylen Lile | 46 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 102 | 0.153 | 87.5 | 7.0% | 0.0% vs LHP | 403 | 8.2% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Jacob Young ⚡ | 45 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 106 | 0.145 | 89.2 | 6.6% | 5.6% vs LHP | 391 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Nasim Nunez | 21 | ⚪ D | · | · | 220 | 0.043 | 84.6 | · | 0.0% vs LHP | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 26 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso ⚡ | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +330 | ❄ COLD | 22 | 0.219 | 94.3 | 8.4% | 12.5% vs LHP | 397 | 20.0% | 25.0% | 30.5% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 36 | 0.203 | 89.6 | 7.0% | 53.8% vs LHP | 388 | 19.2% | 25.0% | 37.8% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Samuel Basallo ⚡ | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 44 | 0.206 | 91.0 | 8.0% | 16.7% vs LHP | 400 | 14.0% | 16.7% | 28.1% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Coby Mayo | 54 | 🟠 C | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 62 | 0.178 | 91.4 | 7.6% | 43.8% vs LHP | 403 | 15.4% | 11.1% | 29.3% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Colton Cowser | 51 | 🟠 C | +525 | ❄ COLD | 77 | 0.166 | 85.7 | 8.2% | 20.0% vs LHP | 417 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 46 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 98 | 0.160 | 89.3 | 6.4% | 16.7% vs LHP | 391 | 10.2% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Ward | 38 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 140 | 0.107 | 89.8 | 5.5% | 11.8% vs LHP | 393 | 6.2% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 39 |
| 8 |
|
Leody Taveras | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 163 | 0.129 | 87.5 | 5.0% | 0.0% vs LHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 26 |