2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs 1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 2 Wyatt Langford 6 HRs · 3 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 4 Kazuma Okamoto 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 5 HRs · 6 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 7 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 8 Byron Buxton 5 HRs · 9 Brandon Lowe 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 4 HRs · 11 Jac Caglianone 4 HRs · 12 Joc Pederson 4 HRs
HOU
@ 6:40p
DET
Comerica Park · 16 ranked batters
Stadium Conditions

Comerica Park

First pitch 6:40p · roof open
Park 0.98× Wind 2 mph out 58°F open
-4
4 mph · in
75°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
5 mph · in
72°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
5 mph · cross
70°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
5 mph · in
69°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-5
5 mph · in
67°F
10:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.89

58°F, wind 2 mph NNW (out) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.

Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti RHP
0.80 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.34 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 66 🔵 C+ +400 · 19 0.293 91.0 9.3% 32.0% vs RHP 396 22.4% 23.1% 29.1% 36
2 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 51 🟠 C +400 · 74 0.192 89.9 9.4% 22.4% vs RHP 394 15.2% 15.4% 19.1% 26
3 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 51 🟠 C +390 ❄ COLD 75 0.229 91.3 8.0% 24.4% vs RHP 373 14.8% 10.0% 14.5% 21
4 Riley Greene Riley Greene 43 ⚪ D +390 🌤️ WARM 115 0.153 91.6 9.4% 13.5% vs RHP 393 10.0% 7.7% 8.5% 30
5 Matt Vierling Matt Vierling 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 145 0.141 87.2 6.3% 9.7% vs RHP 377 9.3% 14.3% 7.6% 22
6 Colt Keith Colt Keith 34 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 164 0.114 88.8 7.2% 9.1% vs RHP 380 3.0% 11.1% 11.5% 24
7 Kevin Mcgonigle Kevin Mcgonigle 33 ⚪ D +525 · 174 0.140 87.9 7.2% 6.5% vs RHP 392 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 39
8 Zach Mckinstry Zach Mckinstry 21 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 219 0.083 84.8 4.0% 5.7% vs RHP 387 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 24
Keider Montero
Keider Montero RHP
1.01 HR/9 · FIP-xFIP -0.68 ·
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 61 🔵 C+ +235 🌧️ COOL 33 0.307 94.5 12.6% 26.6% vs RHP 400 0.0% 0.0% 23.5% 42
2 Christian Walker Christian Walker 57 🟠 C +350 🌧️ COOL 47 0.240 90.3 9.4% 28.8% vs RHP 390 20.5% 16.7% 20.5% 33
3 Cam Smith Cam Smith 42 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 118 0.140 89.6 10.1% 16.7% vs RHP 418 10.7% 8.3% 8.5% 38
4 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 124 0.133 88.1 8.8% 11.1% vs RHP 410 10.0% 22.2% 12.6% 18
5 Jeremy Peña Jeremy Peña 40 ⚪ D +575 🌤️ WARM 126 0.163 86.9 6.1% 16.1% vs RHP 388 8.8% 16.7% 15.7% 38
6 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 40 ⚪ D +475 🌧️ COOL 127 0.164 87.1 7.4% 18.9% vs RHP 367 10.4% 8.3% 10.2% 37
7 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 36 ⚪ D +500 · 152 0.155 85.9 7.7% 25.9% vs RHP 376 0.0% 0.0% 17.6% 36
8 Christian Vazquez Christian Vazquez 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 212 0.115 85.7 3.7% 11.5% vs RHP 373 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 16
🏟️
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