HOU
@
6:40p
DET
Stadium Conditions
Comerica Park
First pitch 6:40p
· roof open
Park 0.98×
Wind 2 mph out
58°F
open
-4
4 mph · in
75°F
6:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
5 mph · in
72°F
7:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
5 mph · cross
70°F
8:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-4
5 mph · in
69°F
9:40p
Neutral for HR environment
-5
5 mph · in
67°F
10:40p
Suppress for HR environment
⚪ Soft suppress · Combined 0.89
58°F, wind 2 mph NNW (out) — modifier: -1. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | · | 19 | 0.293 | 91.0 | 9.3% | 32.0% vs RHP | 396 | 22.4% | 23.1% | 29.1% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 51 | 🟠 C | +400 | · | 74 | 0.192 | 89.9 | 9.4% | 22.4% vs RHP | 394 | 15.2% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 51 | 🟠 C | +390 | ❄ COLD | 75 | 0.229 | 91.3 | 8.0% | 24.4% vs RHP | 373 | 14.8% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 21 |
| 4 |
|
Riley Greene | 43 | ⚪ D | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 115 | 0.153 | 91.6 | 9.4% | 13.5% vs RHP | 393 | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Vierling | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 145 | 0.141 | 87.2 | 6.3% | 9.7% vs RHP | 377 | 9.3% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Colt Keith | 34 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 164 | 0.114 | 88.8 | 7.2% | 9.1% vs RHP | 380 | 3.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Kevin Mcgonigle | 33 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 174 | 0.140 | 87.9 | 7.2% | 6.5% vs RHP | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 39 |
| 8 |
|
Zach Mckinstry | 21 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 219 | 0.083 | 84.8 | 4.0% | 5.7% vs RHP | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 24 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +235 | 🌧️ COOL | 33 | 0.307 | 94.5 | 12.6% | 26.6% vs RHP | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 23.5% | 42 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 57 | 🟠 C | +350 | 🌧️ COOL | 47 | 0.240 | 90.3 | 9.4% | 28.8% vs RHP | 390 | 20.5% | 16.7% | 20.5% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 42 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 118 | 0.140 | 89.6 | 10.1% | 16.7% vs RHP | 418 | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Brice Matthews | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 124 | 0.133 | 88.1 | 8.8% | 11.1% vs RHP | 410 | 10.0% | 22.2% | 12.6% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremy Peña | 40 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 126 | 0.163 | 86.9 | 6.1% | 16.1% vs RHP | 388 | 8.8% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 40 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌧️ COOL | 127 | 0.164 | 87.1 | 7.4% | 18.9% vs RHP | 367 | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Jose Altuve | 36 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 152 | 0.155 | 85.9 | 7.7% | 25.9% vs RHP | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.6% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Christian Vazquez | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 212 | 0.115 | 85.7 | 3.7% | 11.5% vs RHP | 373 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 16 |